What?
I don’t know if it’ll necessarily be that severe: I think avoiding that will be more about effective communication during the recruiting process. Previously, any coach could say to every recruit, “we see you contributing as a freshman and playing a ton right away,” and when that inevitably didn’t happen, the kid didn’t really have as many options even if he felt like the coach he committed to wasn’t truthful to him and his family during the recruiting process. Now they have an option and an amount of recourse.
It wont just be a guy who doesn't develop and transfers down. We'll have 1-2 starters transfer. Everyone will. Any kid who thinks the offense isnt being run through him so he can make the NBA will transfer.
Why would they do that? They have a perfect system for allowing the big schools to get rid of their dead weight and go recruit the smaller schools better developed players.
I suspect this will depend on the recruiting strategies of any particular program. If playing time is promised, especially immediate playing time, during the recruiting pitch, and then that PT doesn't happen, then transfers will happen as you say. If long term development is pitched, then I imagine transfers, if they happen, will come later. And, those transfers would have happened with or without the rule change. Coaching staffs are going to have to be more honest, and I think they're going to have to qualify their recruits more thoroughly. On the other hand, I think it's worth noting that around half of Coach Bennett's recruits at UVa have transferred out of the program. Most of those transfers occur after the second year. In a number of instances, they were prospects with whom the staff took a chance. Bennett has stated that he never asks a player to leave and that he never begs a player to stay, and by the post-season evaluations after the second year, I think everyone knows what their prospects of future playing time will be. Most of the transfers have moved to programs where they have played more significant roles, and it has opened up scholarships for the staff to use. In these instances, I think it is a "win" for everyone. The downside of the new rule will come from when the less-than-ethical coaches out there start poaching from mid majors. I am a bit skeptical of how effective this will be. Regardless, for these latter considerations, I don't like the new rule.
And will coaches be held to a similar standard with regards to their contract?
Expect crickets
Depending on the competency of the school's lawyers who drawn up the employment contract, most coaches are already held to a similar standard. Buy-out clauses, doncha know!
Contribute is a very arbitrary word. If I contribute one dollar to a million dollar fund I contributed. But I think I know what Capel means. He can put him in for a few minutes at a time.
You guys remember Pitt in the Big East, every year Pitt had a player who was Newcomer Of The Year, he was maybe a Soph or a Junior who worked his way on to court! That's the way I see Max developing every year to become a solid player! Maybe 8-10 points and 6-7 rebound by his Senior year! Gary McGhee comes to mind, 1st 2 years 1.5 points and 1.5 rebounds last 2 years 7 points and 6 rebounds!
McGhee was a 4 star recruit, Wanamaker was a 4 star recruit, Gray was 7-0 tall. Max is 6-8 and was a low 3 star recruit. I wouldn’t expect a whole lot from him.
