Good call, Sagarin!That will remain true until, or unless, Horton demonstrates that he should have influenced the spread over the outcome of a number of games —assuming he actually does makes such a difference. In the meantime, it is simply Pitt fans’ WAG that he should actually influence the spread.
Personally, I believe Horton has the potential to make Pitt about 5 points better offensively on average. But, will he hurt on defense and offset that potential gain?
Only times will provide the answer.