Lunardi now has Pitt as an 8.
5 ACC teams
Duke 2
Unc 4
Clemson 10
Wake 11 last four in
Has 11 sec bids with lsu as first four out
5 ACC teams
Duke 2
Unc 4
Clemson 10
Wake 11 last four in
Has 11 sec bids with lsu as first four out
Bracketology 11/26
- Thread starter Pitt666
- Start date
11 is laughable for the SEC, and borderline idiotic.
The big east did it once in 2011, but the SEC is not nearly as good and deep as that year for the BE.
The SEC has also never gotten more than 8 teams ever.
I guess numbers will inflate the power conference numbers with the PAC-12 disintegrating, but that’ll only help the other conferences and not the SEC.
I think adding “competitively” after play good teams is an important qualifier though… Had Pitt lost to Wisconsin by say 20….
Absolutely. But this is the kind of schedule that a tournament team should play. Play good teams, play them hard, and the end W/L result becomes much less relevant.
Forget VT. That's a win and if it isnt, we have major issues.
2-0 = NCAAT lock
1-1 = bubble
0-2 = NIT.....unless we go 15-5 in the ACC, maybe 14-6 depending on who we beat
If we go 2-1 and take care of VT on the road by a healthy margin we will be somewhere between 15-20 in the NET. That’s not even close to bubble. Probably like a 7-8 seed going into ACC play. Just go 11-9 or 12-8 we will be fine.
Pitt is going to be a computer darling this season.
Unc, Duke, Pitt, Clemson are getting in.
After that probably 2 of: Wake, Louisville, Stanford, ND, UVA, FSU.
I hadn’t counted on the ACC computer numbers being as good as they are.
Given that Dunn should be available for the last 16 games (after Duke which is 6 weeks from tonight) , I don’t see any of those conference games which aren’t winnable. Our bench will be stronger for the stretch run having to play the next 7-8 games without Dunn. And there’s no way we lose 5 home games again this year.
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We were the 4th team out last year with 14-6 in the ACC.
We had an abysmal OOC strength of schedule. Zero top 100 wins.
This season, our OOC strength of schedule is excellent. We will possibly have 3 top 100 wins, at least 2. (Not counting Ohio St and miss st)
Even if we lose both of them, we are in excellent shape. It’s totally different than last season.
1-1 and their KenPom is like 15 ( or better )
0-2 ken Pom in low 20s
barring a home loss or loss to Va Tech - we should be in very good position heading into ACC play. Can probably absorb a loss to VT if we go 1-1 OSU / MSU
2-0 and we might be like in 3 seed territory headed into January
It's good to see so many people recognizing the SMF really doesn't understand how this all works.
I'm not talking about right now. Yea, if we go 0-2, we may still be in bracketology but I'm talking about at the end of the season. I am making some assumptions:
- LSU & WVU wont be good
- We will go 13-7 in the ACC
- We will go 0-3 vs Duke/UNC
None of that may happen. But it could and I think it will. This is why I say that if we go 0-2, we will not make the NCAA Tournament. If LSU or WVU is good or we go 14-6 or 15-5 or we beat Duke/UNC, then, yes, we can make it.
If we go 13-7. And LSU ends up being a NIT level SEC team. A WVU a Big 12 bottom feeder.
And we go 13-7, losing to Duke/Unc 3 times.
We will still make it, probably easily. Would still have an excellent SOS. We would be in 10x better position than last year when we had a truly awful SOS and got bit by 10 bid stealers and still were the 4th team out.
Even in your scenario, we are fine.
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