Climbing Out of a Hole (Reality Check)

316 S Bouquet · Nov 19, 2019

We have all been pretty frustrated by this team so far, so I decided to take a look and see how long it’s taken other programs that have bottomed out to bounce back to the NCAAT. As we all know, this is year two after the 2017-18 debacle. A lot of us (myself included) set year 3 of the Capel era as a realistic goal for the NCAAT. I was curious of just how realistic that is.

There are not many teams that have lost every conference game, so I looked at every P6 team that has won zero or one conference game since the 2009-10 season. It’s a pretty small sample size, but here is what I found:

Since 2009-10, 12 P6 programs have won zero or one conference game, and only one so far was able to get back to the NCAAT in three years. The specifics:

ACC

Wake Forest went 1-15 in 2010-11 and made the NCAAT in 2016-17 (six years).
BC went 0-18 in 2015-16 and has not made the NCAAT (three years and counting).
Pitt went ... (you know).

PAC-12

USC went 1-17 in 2011-12 and made the NCAAT in 2015-16 (four years).
Wazzu went 1-17 in 2015-16 and has not made the NCAAT (three years and counting).
Oregon State (shoutout Scott Barnes) went 1-17 in 2016-17 and has not made the NCAAT (two years and counting).

B1G

Rutgers went 1-17 in 2015-16 and has not made the NCAAT (three years and counting).

SEC

Vanderbilt went 0-18 in 2018-19 (last year).

BIG 12

Texas Tech went 1-17 in 2011-12 and made the NCAAT in 2015-16 (four years).
TCU went 0-18 in 2013-14 and made the NCAAT in 2017-18 (four years and let’s just not go there).

Big East

DePaul went 1-17 in 2009-10 and 2010-11 and has not made the NCAAT (nine years and counting).
St. John’s went 1-17 in 2015-16 and made the NCAAT in 2018-19 (three years)

caleco's · Nov 19, 2019