ADVERTISEMENT

Hypothetical Bet

O/U 9

  • Under 9 Wins

    Votes: 7 17.5%
  • Over 9 Wins

    Votes: 19 47.5%
  • Push - Exactly 9 Wins

    Votes: 14 35.0%

  • Total voters
    40
Oct 25, 2021
11,619
9,473
113
We'll say 9 is the over/under, and you are offered a chance to win $100,000 if you choose correctly (i.e. you better be using your head and not your heart). Where are you going with the 2022 season win total?

I think I would have to go with the push...
 
We'll say 9 is the over/under, and you are offered a chance to win $100,000 if you choose correctly (i.e. you better be using your head and not your heart). Where are you going with the 2022 season win total?

I think I would have to go with the push...
Based upon your criteria no way. Only an 8% chance to push vs much higher probabilities for either of the other two results
 
Based upon your criteria no way. Only an 8% chance to push vs much higher probabilities for either of the other two results

If every game was a 50/50 coin flip that would be true. But that's definitely not the case here. GT, Duke, Rhode Island, and Syracuse, for example, are wins the second we step off the bus.

I mean, Alabama's o/u is probably like 11, but there's no way in the universe they have an 8.3% chance of going over and an 83.3% chance of going under. In the absolutely worst case scenario they're going to win at least ten.
 
If every game was a 50/50 coin flip that would be true. But that's definitely not the case here. GT, Duke, Rhode Island, and Syracuse, for example, are wins the second we step off the bus.
If you are able to magically eliminate intangibles like injuries, weather, etc...
 
If every game was a 50/50 coin flip that would be true. But that's definitely not the case here. GT, Duke, Rhode Island, and Syracuse, for example, are wins the second we step off the bus.
My conservative prediction for the year is 9-3, but I’d put odds as:

Less than 8 wins-10%
8 wins-15%
9 wins-40%
10 wins-25%
11 wins or more-10%
 
The win total is 8.5 on most sportsbooks. Why not just set this poll at over / under 8 wins?
 
The win total is 8.5 on most sportsbooks. Why not just set this poll at over / under 8 wins?

Dude, you're a flea. If this doesn't confirm how annoying you've become, I don't know what will. Setting a poll at .5 over the consensus o/u is stupid, but setting it at .5 under would be brilliant.
 
My conservative prediction for the year is 9-3, but I’d put odds as:

Less than 8 wins-10%
8 wins-15%
9 wins-40%
10 wins-25%
11 wins or more-10%

That seems reasonable. I'm probably very slightly less optimistic in that I might put 8 as being equal or slightly more likely than ten just because I think going on the road to Louisville, UVA, and UNC could pose some challenges (in addition to Tennessee and Miami, which obviously won't be easy games).
 
I assume this doesn't count the bowl game? I could see us going 8-4, getting a weak bowl game and winning that to finish at 9-4.
 
ADVERTISEMENT