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I saw this somewhere and I thought this was helpful — here is the bubble:

whirlybird optio

Head Coach
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Feb 4, 2003
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ACC - UVA, Pitt, Wake
Big East - SJU, SHU, Nova, PC
Big 10 - Iowa (maybe Ohio St)
PAC 12 - Colorado
MW - New Mexico
SEC - Miss St Texas AM
MVC - Indiana St

Teams that are almost 100% in as of right now, would probably still make it if they lose next game but would be nervous

Big 10 - Michigan St
Big 12 - Oklahoma, TCU
American - FAU
MW - Colorado St


So, just for sake of projecting the field - let’s say those 5 teams are in.

If those 5 teams make it, there are 5 bids for the bubble - which also assumes 2 bid stealers (USF and Loyola for example)

So, Pitt is competing with the bubble for 5, 6, or 7 bids.

It doesn’t seem quite as impossible when you put it like this lol..
 
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