After the Clemson loss, I said Pitt wouldn't make the NCAAT as I had them going 10-10. However, I had Syracuse as a loss and Wake as a loss. If we win those 2, it's hard to imagine we go anything worse than 12-8. We would be 6-4 in the 1st Half with a much easier 2nd Half of ACC Schedule. Of course, those 5 Q3/4 home games are massive but we shouldn't lose any.
There's also the fact a win would make it very difficult for Wake to leap over us down the road. They only have 3 Q1 games after us. @ Stan, @ SMU, @ Duke. Like us, they don't have a loss outside Q1 but also like us, they are 1-6 in Q1. They are more desperate than we are given their NET of 71.
The bubble is weak right now and if we can knockout Wake and UNC, it makes it that much easier for us. Having said that, we have never won in Winston-Salem and I dont have a good feeling about this game. Incredibly, we have trailed by 8+ points in the 1st Half of our last 11 P5 games and managed a 6-5 record in those games. Teams shoot the lights out vs us in the 1st Half and I see this trend continuing at Wake.
There's also the fact a win would make it very difficult for Wake to leap over us down the road. They only have 3 Q1 games after us. @ Stan, @ SMU, @ Duke. Like us, they don't have a loss outside Q1 but also like us, they are 1-6 in Q1. They are more desperate than we are given their NET of 71.
The bubble is weak right now and if we can knockout Wake and UNC, it makes it that much easier for us. Having said that, we have never won in Winston-Salem and I dont have a good feeling about this game. Incredibly, we have trailed by 8+ points in the 1st Half of our last 11 P5 games and managed a 6-5 record in those games. Teams shoot the lights out vs us in the 1st Half and I see this trend continuing at Wake.
