I'm not surprised. As I mentioned in another thread, he was pretty dismissive of the studio guys who were trying to make a case for Pitt last night. At one point he made a snarky comment that what they thought didn't matter because "he knows the math."
And I guess as of today the math is not in their favor, but it can change. Last year, they had some borderline Q1 wins that fluctuated with Q2. This year, any Q1 wins (@duke, @wake, @clemson, @virginia) will stay q1. They could have a reverse beneficial effect of wake and @ncst victories moving from q2 to q1. We need road GT win to move back up to a Q2 and Cuse to move back up to q1/2. By all love of god we need Mizz to win a game or two and not fall to q4. But with that said, here are some other math comparisons. It is likely the bad losses are hurting Pitt right now and road wins may eventually matter at the end of season
Last 4 byes
Nebras Net 54 Road 1-7 3-5Q1 3-3Q2 11-0 Q3/4
Last4 in
Tcu Net 42 Road 4-3 3-6Q1 1-1Q2 13-0 Q3/4
Miss Net 61 Road 3-5 2-5Q1 2-1Q2 14-0 Q3/4
Utah Net 47 Road 1-5 3-6Q1 4-2Q2 8-1 Q3/4
Nevada Net 49 Road 4-3 5-3Q1 0-2Q2 Q3/4 13-1
Pitt Net 53 Road 6-2 2-5Q1 2-1Q2 12-2 Q3/4
So it seems the Net is almost there, but Pitt either doesn’t haven’t the q1/2 wins yet, or they are being penalized for q3 losses, which they have more. The loss to Mizz was early…, but they do need to win at wake or Clemson to really get on the bubble. However, if Ole Miss is right there, Pitt can’t be too far off.