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Miami Game Winner From Half Court

Miami was somehow 5 point dogs in this one, Vegas is idiotic at times (mostly not)


There were several people on here that thought that Pitt only getting 4-1/2 last night was proof that Vegas was idiotic.

The odds makers have Miami pegged so incorrectly that with tonight's win and cover they are now 10-10 against the spread this year.
 
There were several people on here that thought that Pitt only getting 4-1/2 last night was proof that Vegas was idiotic.

The odds makers have Miami pegged so incorrectly that with tonight's win and cover they are now 10-10 against the spread this year.
DraftKings had Miami at +6000 to win the ACC after they started 3-0. They are in pretty good shape right now.
 
DraftKings had Miami at +6000 to win the ACC after they started 3-0. They are in pretty good shape right now.


Are they? They are now one of four teams with two losses in the conference and one of those four teams is universally regarded as being better than them and another of them is the team that has beaten them twice. I mean their actual odds right now are surely much better than 60-1, but they most certainly are not the favorite or even close to it.
 
Are they? They are now one of four teams with two losses in the conference and one of those four teams is universally regarded as being better than them and another of them is the team that has beaten them twice. I mean their actual odds right now are surely much better than 60-1, but they most certainly are not the favorite or even close to it.
FSU just lost to GT - 3 conference losses
Duke - Miami beat them head to head. Don’t play again
WF - Miami beat them head to head.
UNC - Miami beat them head to head.
Miami - Much easier schedule the rest of the way.
 
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FSU just lost to GT - 3 conference losses
Duke - Miami beat them head to head. Don’t play again
WF - Miami beat them head to head.
UNC - Miami beat them head to head.
Miami - Much easier schedule the rest of the way.
Just checked. I got 10 on Miami to win the conference for 610.
 
Miami was somehow 5 point dogs in this one, Vegas is idiotic at times (mostly not)
Sagarin's computer did the same thing as the Vegas oddsmakers and had VA Tech by about 5 (5.47). When you toss out W-L record and only consider strength of schedule and how close you kept your losses these systems fall down in their accuracy. To be fair, Sagarin's "Recent" rating better reflects current reality and had Miami by 5 (4.97).
 
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I missed that. Didn't just lose, got smoked.

That is a bad, bad loss.
FSU just couldn't score effectively against the zone D GT played all game.

I sure hope Pitt remembers its lesson from Cuse game #2 when they play GT since I expect they will play only zone like they did vs FSU.
 
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