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Pitt —2.5 vs Wisc: opened -3.5

kenpom
Pitt 23.10
Wis 18.30
4.8


That isn't the way that it works. The overall numbers are based on a 100 possession game, so you can't just subtract one from the other. The score prediction comes from comparing one team's offensive versus the other teams defense and vise-versa, and then accounting for the number of possessions he is predicting.

Right now he has the predicted score 77-73 Pitt.
 
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