Pitt at Wake Forest Noon Saturday

[Dointhatrag]

Big game this weekend and one of the final quad 1 games we have left. Last year we got blown out of the water at their house.

They are coming off two straight losses to Duke and Louisville and will want to right the ship.

I’m very concerned this might be another egg we lay.

I’ll be there with my son. Any other fans making the trip?

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Big game this weekend and one of the final quad 1 games we have left. Last year we got blown out of the water at their house.

They are coming off two straight losses to Duke and Louisville and will want to right the ship.

I’m very concerned this might be another egg we lay.

I’ll be there with my son. Any other fans making the trip?

We've never won in Winston-Salem and I expect that trend to continue. Wake has a premium rebounder in Trevion Spiller, though he is only 6'7. Efton Reid is also a very good rebounder. Wake doesn't shoot 3s that well so gotta hope they are cold and we don't get manhandled on the glass. We arent going to win the rebounding battle but we have to keep it within 10.

Here's a question: Bigger game: Q1 @ Wake or Q4 vs UVa. I think it's UVa. Q4 losses hurt you more than Q1 wins help you I think. If we can only win 1 of these next 2, I think it's better to beat UVa.

 

[DT_PITT]

We've never won in Winston-Salem and I expect that trend to continue. Wake has a premium rebounder in Trevion Spiller, though he is only 6'7. Efton Reid is also a very good rebounder. Wake doesn't shoot 3s that well so gotta hope they are cold and we don't get manhandled on the glass. We arent going to win the rebounding battle but we have to keep it within 10.

Here's a question: Bigger game: Q1 @ Wake or Q4 vs UVa. I think it's UVa. Q4 losses hurt you more than Q1 wins help you I think. If we can only win 1 of these next 2, I think it's better to beat UVa.

Simple. Win them both.

 

[HailToPitt1985]

The rebounding always worries me, but more so with this Wake game. They have a very distinct advantage. If we don't at least try to rebound, it could be more than an egg we lay. It could be the whole dozen.

 

[zucca]

Big game this weekend and one of the final quad 1 games we have left. Last year we got blown out of the water at their house.

They are coming off two straight losses to Duke and Louisville and will want to right the ship.

I’m very concerned this might be another egg we lay.

I’ll be there with my son. Any other fans making the trip?

We also will be in attendance.

 

[Protes]

We've never won in Winston-Salem and I expect that trend to continue. Wake has a premium rebounder in Trevion Spiller, though he is only 6'7. Efton Reid is also a very good rebounder. Wake doesn't shoot 3s that well so gotta hope they are cold and we don't get manhandled on the glass. We arent going to win the rebounding battle but we have to keep it within 10.

Here's a question: Bigger game: Q1 @ Wake or Q4 vs UVa. I think it's UVa. Q4 losses hurt you more than Q1 wins help you I think. If we can only win 1 of these next 2, I think it's better to beat UVa.

Is there any doubt that a bad loss would hurt us a lot more than a "not bad" loss? We know that from last year, don't we?

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Is there any doubt that a bad loss would hurt us a lot more than a "not bad" loss? We know that from last year, don't we?

Here's another question, let's say you get 2 choices:

1. Win all the Q1 games left:

@ Wake
@ UNC
@ SMU
@ Lou
Lose to Miami, BC, UVa, Syr.

2. Beat Miami, BC, UVa, Syr
Lose @ Wake, @ UNC, @ SMU, @ Lou

I'd pick option 2 because of what the committee unofficially looks for. They value not losing to bad teams over beating good teams. I personally don't agree with this as I'd be more interested in seeing who these bubble teams can beat but as long as we avoid the Q3/4 losses, I think we are good. In fact, I doubt there's ever been a sub-50 P5 NET team without a Q3/4 loss who has ever been left out.

 

[Pitt666]

Pretty high chance this ends up a Q2 game. FSU dropped to Q2 after their home loss to VT last night.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Pretty high chance this ends up a Q2 game. FSU dropped to Q2 after their home loss to VT last night.

Its possible but they are 69 and will probably do enough to stay Q1. Maybe if we are up 20 late, we will start conceding baskets to only win by 6 so the win stays Q1. That's how ridiculous it is that they use scoring margin to determine the NCAAT.

 

[12162022]

Its possible but they are 69 and will probably do enough to stay Q1. Maybe if we are up 20 late, we will start conceding baskets to only win by 6 so the win stays Q1. That's how ridiculous it is that they use scoring margin to determine the NCAAT.

i'd fire the coach if he did that. Then I'd hire Pitt Poker. (He knows EVERYTHING!!!)

 

[DC_Area_Panther]

ESPN Analytics has Pitt favored to win 53.7% vs Wake 46.3% probability. Hope they have it right.

 

[Joe the Panther Fan]

We also will be in attendance.

See if you can't grab a couple defensive rebounds for us.

 

[HailToPitt1985]

ESPN Analytics has Pitt favored to win 53.7% vs Wake 46.3% probability. Hope they have it right.

I really hope we beat Wake for once. But with our lack of rebounding and their strength in rebounding, I just don't expect that. Those odds are....how can I put it kindly so as not to offend the snowflakes...slightly off. Maybe they have them reversed.

 

[FireballZ]

I really hope we beat Wake for once. But with our lack of rebounding and their strength in rebounding, I just don't expect that. Those odds are....how can I put it kindly so as not to offend the snowflakes...slightly off. Maybe they have them reversed.

Do you just copy and paste your same negative repetitive thoughts day after day after day? Maybe edit a few words. Go for a jog by Dixon's old house and get some air, would ya?

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

I really hope we beat Wake for once. But with our lack of rebounding and their strength in rebounding, I just don't expect that. Those odds are....how can I put it kindly so as not to offend the snowflakes...slightly off. Maybe they have them reversed.

It would greatly help if a team would come out cold for once. Yes, some of that is our fault but some of it is luck. Sometimes teams are just off. But in the 1st halves vs us, these last 11 P5 teams have to be shooting 55% from the field and 45% from 3. We are getting torched in the 1st Half.

 

[KennyTheKangaroo]

Is wake considered to be a bubble team or just a pretty ok team

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Is wake considered to be a bubble team or just a pretty ok team

They are one of 20 or so teams without a loss outside Q1. Pitt was one until FSU fell to Q2. They are the 1st team out on Bracket Matrix and in 18 of 88 brackets. Pitt is on 87 of 88. Enormous game for both teams. Probably bigger for Wake. Given what they have left, I dont think they can make the NCAAT with a loss.

Wake is good. Not as good as last year as they lost Boopie to SMU and Carr to Kentucky and only replaced them with rebounder extraordinare Spiller from App St. They really have 2 scorers, Sallis and Hildreth and then Reid and Spiller do the dirty stuff underneath. Would be extremely helpful if Sallis was cold.

 

[lutzcody182]

I really hope we beat Wake for once. But with our lack of rebounding and their strength in rebounding, I just don't expect that. Those odds are....how can I put it kindly so as not to offend the snowflakes...slightly off. Maybe they have them reversed.

according to Torvik Pitt is actually a better offensive and defensive rebounding team than Wake FWIW.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

according to Torvik Pitt is actually a better offensive and defensive rebounding team than Wake FWIW.

Reid and Spiller are the 2 best rebounders on the floor by a wide margin. We are going to get out rebounded. Just have to keep it reasonable. UNC plays 4 guards and their Center was out and they still dominated us on the glass. That was one game I thought we could win the rebound margin in.

 

[Atilla Cosby]

Pitt +1.5, +112 ML, o/u 140.5. So far 93% of money on Wake spread and 76% of spread bets on Wake.

Smells like a Pitt win. I will wait for a money line play when we go down 10 in the first half as usual.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Pitt +1.5, +112 ML, o/u 140.5. So far 93% of money on Wake spread and 76% of spread bets on Wake.

Smells like a Pitt win. I will wait for a money line play when we go down 10 in the first half as usual.

I usually bet the moneyline against Pitt so I am compensated for my depression. I only do this when I feel they have a good chance of losing.

I am 3-2

Wisconsin W
Miss St W
Clemson W
Syr L
UNC L

Didn't bet Lou. I will be betting Wake to win.

 

[SteelBowl70]

Pitt 0-6 at Wake and the last 2 have been blowouts
3-0 neutral courts
6-2 at home

Wake favored by 2.5 I don’t bet but would be hard pressed not to lay the points and take the home team

 

[Atilla Cosby]

Pitt 0-6 at Wake and the last 2 have been blowouts
3-0 neutral courts
6-2 at home

Wake favored by 2.5 I don’t bet but would be hard pressed not to lay the points and take the home team

First half down 8 it was +8.5. But of course my debit card expired yesterday. By the time I made a deposit it was down to 4 and I passed. Probably a good thing because I would have taken +320 ML also for the same amount, meaning I'd lose the amount of the juice.