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The NCAA recruiting map is misleading

Apr 26, 2012
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Before jumping to false conclusions (many on Twitter already have), let me explain this.
The NCAA put out a map that Football Scoop has written an article on supposedly showing "Where Players Come From". That is an incorrect title; this is not what the map is showing.

What it shows is the percentage of players in each state that get D1 scholarships. What it is really pointing to is NOT where players come from, but rather HS football participation rates.

Here are the leaders (from the NCAA map) in terms of percentage of HS players that get D1 scholarships:
1. Florida — 9.9 percent
2. Georgia — 8.6 percent
3. Louisiana — 8.1 percent
4. Washington, D.C./Maryland — 7.2 percent/6.5 percent
5. South Carolina — 6.2 percent
Tennessee — 6.2 percent
7. North Carolina — 5.9 percent
8. Virginia — 5.6 percent
9. Delaware — 5.1 percent
10. Alabama — 5.0 percent
New Jersey — 5.0 percent
Pennsylvania — 5.0 percent

Ohio is 4.3%, and Texas is 2.7%.

But here is the top of a list that shows the NUMBER of D1 players by state:
Florida– 336
Texas– 330
California– 224
Georgia– 210
Ohio– 121
Louisiana– 95
Alabama– 91
North Carolina– 83
Michigan– 72
Illinois– 66
Virginia– 58
Pennsylvania– 56
Maryland– 50

So, Ohio has a lower recruitment % than PA, but has more than twice as many D1 recruits. With similar population size, this means that far more kids play HS football in Ohio, including a lot of marginal kids.
And Texas has massively high participation rates, with 330 D1 players and just a 2.7% recruitment rate. Even when accounting for Texas' large population, the conclusion stands.
 
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Before jumping to false conclusions (many on Twitter already have), let me explain this.
The NCAA put out a map that Football Scoop has written an article on supposedly showing "Where Players Come From". That is an incorrect title; this is not what the map is showing.

What it shows is the percentage of players in each state that get D1 scholarships. What it is really pointing to is NOT where players come from, but rather HS football participation rates.

Here are the leaders (from the NCAA map) in terms of percentage of HS players that get D1 scholarships:
1. Florida — 9.9 percent
2. Georgia — 8.6 percent
3. Louisiana — 8.1 percent
4. Washington, D.C./Maryland — 7.2 percent/6.5 percent
5. South Carolina — 6.2 percent
Tennessee — 6.2 percent
7. North Carolina — 5.9 percent
8. Virginia — 5.6 percent
9. Delaware — 5.1 percent
10. Alabama — 5.0 percent
New Jersey — 5.0 percent
Pennsylvania — 5.0 percent

Ohio is 4.3%, and Texas is 2.7%.

But here is the top of a list that shows the NUMBER of D1 players by state:
Florida– 336
Texas– 330
California– 224
Georgia– 210
Ohio– 121
Louisiana– 95
Alabama– 91
North Carolina– 83
Michigan– 72
Illinois– 66
Virginia– 58
Pennsylvania– 56
Maryland– 50

So, Ohio has a lower recruitment % than PA, but has more than twice as many D1 recruits. With similar population size, this means that far more kids play HS football in Ohio, including a lot of marginal kids.
And Texas has massively high participation rates, with 330 D1 players and just a 2.7% recruitment rate. Even when accounting for Texas' large population, the conclusion stands.
very good..now please explain the absurdity of the gender pay gap argument made by so many sans simple analysis of the data..
 
Before jumping to false conclusions (many on Twitter already have), let me explain this.
The NCAA put out a map that Football Scoop has written an article on supposedly showing "Where Players Come From". That is an incorrect title; this is not what the map is showing.

What it shows is the percentage of players in each state that get D1 scholarships. What it is really pointing to is NOT where players come from, but rather HS football participation rates.

Here are the leaders (from the NCAA map) in terms of percentage of HS players that get D1 scholarships:
1. Florida — 9.9 percent
2. Georgia — 8.6 percent
3. Louisiana — 8.1 percent
4. Washington, D.C./Maryland — 7.2 percent/6.5 percent
5. South Carolina — 6.2 percent
Tennessee — 6.2 percent
7. North Carolina — 5.9 percent
8. Virginia — 5.6 percent
9. Delaware — 5.1 percent
10. Alabama — 5.0 percent
New Jersey — 5.0 percent
Pennsylvania — 5.0 percent

Ohio is 4.3%, and Texas is 2.7%.

But here is the top of a list that shows the NUMBER of D1 players by state:
Florida– 336
Texas– 330
California– 224
Georgia– 210
Ohio– 121
Louisiana– 95
Alabama– 91
North Carolina– 83
Michigan– 72
Illinois– 66
Virginia– 58
Pennsylvania– 56
Maryland– 50

So, Ohio has a lower recruitment % than PA, but has more than twice as many D1 recruits. With similar population size, this means that far more kids play HS football in Ohio, including a lot of marginal kids.
And Texas has massively high participation rates, with 330 D1 players and just a 2.7% recruitment rate. Even when accounting for Texas' large population, the conclusion stands.

those numbers are still skewed a bit by the number of D1 teams in a state. If kent st for example is going to take a chance on a marginal player chances are the kid is more often than not from OH. Ohio has 8 D1 fbs schools. PA has 3. IF the number was reversed PA still might not have the 121 FBS players that OH does but it would be higher than the 56 that PA currently has.
 
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Before jumping to false conclusions (many on Twitter already have), let me explain this.
The NCAA put out a map that Football Scoop has written an article on supposedly showing "Where Players Come From". That is an incorrect title; this is not what the map is showing.

What it shows is the percentage of players in each state that get D1 scholarships. What it is really pointing to is NOT where players come from, but rather HS football participation rates.

Here are the leaders (from the NCAA map) in terms of percentage of HS players that get D1 scholarships:
1. Florida — 9.9 percent
2. Georgia — 8.6 percent
3. Louisiana — 8.1 percent
4. Washington, D.C./Maryland — 7.2 percent/6.5 percent
5. South Carolina — 6.2 percent
Tennessee — 6.2 percent
7. North Carolina — 5.9 percent
8. Virginia — 5.6 percent
9. Delaware — 5.1 percent
10. Alabama — 5.0 percent
New Jersey — 5.0 percent
Pennsylvania — 5.0 percent

Ohio is 4.3%, and Texas is 2.7%.

But here is the top of a list that shows the NUMBER of D1 players by state:
Florida– 336
Texas– 330
California– 224
Georgia– 210
Ohio– 121
Louisiana– 95
Alabama– 91
North Carolina– 83
Michigan– 72
Illinois– 66
Virginia– 58
Pennsylvania– 56
Maryland– 50

So, Ohio has a lower recruitment % than PA, but has more than twice as many D1 recruits. With similar population size, this means that far more kids play HS football in Ohio, including a lot of marginal kids.
And Texas has massively high participation rates, with 330 D1 players and just a 2.7% recruitment rate. Even when accounting for Texas' large population, the conclusion stands.
As soon as I saw the first list, and Texas, Cali amd Ohio weren't on it, I knew it was B.S.
 
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