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Things that worry me about Saturday, and things that give me hope

UPitt '89

Board of Trustee
Gold Member
Mar 14, 2002
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Hope: Clemson is 0-6 against the spread this year. That's an amazing stat.

Worry: That could mean the "hidden vigorish" is in their favor. If so, let's hope Pitt wins by 1 or 2 ... even if that means Clemson covers.

Hope: Passing game should be more effective this week, since there won't be 25-mph swirling winds like there was at VT last week.

Worry: Clemson will have a future 1st-round CB (Andrew Booth Jr) covering Addison.

Hope: The defense seems to have adjusted to their inability to cover the RPO/slants after the WMU game.

Worry: Clemson runs a similar offense to WMU - with better athletes. They haven't figured it out yet, DJU has been a disappointment, but if they do - they can do to Pitt what WMU did.

Hope: Pitt has been surprisingly very good at protecting the football. Very few turnovers (except for the 3 against WMU).

Worry: "hidden vigorish" again, concerning turnovers. Plus Pickett has 7 turnovers in two career games against Clemson.

Hope: Pitt has been very efficient at turning red zone possessions into TDs instead of FGs.

Worry: Clemson's defense has been very good at holding teams to FG attempts in the red zone, and Pitt's place-kicking game is shaky.

Hope: With the largest crowd for a Pitt home game since the 2018 PSU game, that should make it loud enough to disrupt the communication for the Clemson offense.

Worry: In similar situations in the past, Pitt teams have been too hyped up and played too tight and gotten their doors blown off (see, 2018 PSU game)

Hope: Pitt is a *VERY* veteran team - with 3rd, 4th, and 5th-year players dominating the starting lineups. This balances the talent differential a little bit, because a 5th-year three-star with experience is more often than not a better player than a young four- or five-star.

Worry: Pitt has 11 four star players on the whole roster, and no five stars. Clemson has 10 five-star and 41 four-star players on their roster. Talent eventually figures it out.

Hope: Eventually the hidden vigorish has to go in our favor, with Pitt coming up big in a high-profile national TV game.

Worry: As a home favorite in high profile games, Pitt has not gotten the job done. Our biggest wins are as underdogs when there are low expectations (Clemson 2016, Miami 2017).



Feel free to add your own....
 
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