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UCF bettors

Nice, this was the place where I made book for 5 years and generally kicked butt.

I would add a detailed story about how Pitt was the biggest wiseguy play in town today, but few would understand the machinations and even fewer would care. They were though, and it was a classic example of how sharps manipulate lines and get the price they want.

This was one of those games in which most of the money was on UCF, yet the number kept moving steadily in the other direction.
 
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Nice, this was the place where I made book for 5 years and generally kicked butt.

I would add a detailed story about how Pitt was the biggest wiseguy play in town today, but few would understand the machinations and even fewer would care. They were though, and it was a classic example of how sharps manipulate lines and get the price they want.

This was one of those games in which most of the money was on UCF, yet the number kept moving steadily in the other direction.

Exactly why I took Pitt.
 
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Reactions: gopitt1976
Was unusual movement for a game without a significant injury. I first saw 11, then all the way to 14 then back to about 11.5. Had them at 11 then 14. My friend also had a money line play.
 
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Nice, this was the place where I made book for 5 years and generally kicked butt.

I would add a detailed story about how Pitt was the biggest wiseguy play in town today, but few would understand the machinations and even fewer would care. They were though, and it was a classic example of how sharps manipulate lines and get the price they want.

This was one of those games in which most of the money was on UCF, yet the number kept moving steadily in the other direction.
Do you know where the original line started?
 
Do you know where the original line started?

Circa was the first book to open and they were at 11. A well known player immediately bet UCF for $1000 and they moved off his play. As more small money began to trickle in and other places began putting up numbers it started to move aggressively pretty much based off this 1 group that was betting UCF.

After it got to 13.5 and limits had increased a couple guys from this same group started betting Pitt at the inflated number for much more money all over town. Apparently they had wanted Pitt all along and the early plays were just a head fake knowing books would move quickly out of respect.

Meanwhile the public was all betting UCF and putting them in their parlays to the point that a lot of places had some pretty heavy liability if UCF covered. Of course the number kept dropping from the respected play of that one group and when Pitt won it was a great result for most of the books. They also get to keep any futures wagers on UCF which are all but dead now.

That is exactly how wiseguy information should be used by sportsbooks by the way. Don’t throw these guys out, just make sure you are firm with your limits and use it to your advantage. I unfortunately didn’t benefit at all monetarily, when the number kept climbing I was hoping it would hit 14, but it never did and after it started dropping I just sat it out.
 
For those (like me) that played the Browns tonight the line movement tells a horrible tale. Lots of money coming in on the Browns, line moving in the other direction.

William Hill supposedly took a 500k bet on the Browns +3.5 earlier and didn’t move off that play. Now a few hours later and pretty much everyone is at 4.5. Not good.
 
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