Well, need to go 7-0 in the 7 remaining games we are favored in

[Sean Miller Fan]

The 5 Q3/4 home games plus @ ND and @ NC St. That’s the path. I think we'll win the 5. I dont think we sweep ND/NC St so we are going to have to go 1-2 @ UNC, @ SMU, @ Lou unless we can get in at 11-9 which is a possibility.

All is not lost but we have to basically be perfect in the 7 games we are favored in. The 1 game I think we can get is @ SMU. They are Boopie Miller and WVU-like bums who are just extremely well coached. Not much talent. I would certainly pick SMU but their players aren't as good as Wake, UNC, probably not even ND with Burton back. Enfield is just an excellent coach.

 

[Thee Jackie Treehorn]

We are left with very little margin for error now. One bad loss against the Q3/4s would probably play us out.

 

[SteelBowl70]

A team generally doesn’t lose this many close games late and have things work out. Worse, they aren’t getting any better, especially Lowe who has been a major reason for the team losing 5 of 7.

It really makes the snub last year hurt even more because that team was getting better and could have done damage in the tourney. Both Pitt and Wake were significantly better last year.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

A team generally doesn’t lose this many close games late and have things work out. Worse, they aren’t getting any better, especially Lowe who has been a major reason for the team losing 5 of 7.

It really makes the snub last year hurt even more because that team was getting better and could have done damage in the tourney. Both Pitt and Wake were significantly better last year.

Last year's team was much much better. This team probably gets in but really only due to a bunch of bums from WVU having an exceptional coach

 

[JohnnyGossamer]

A team generally doesn’t lose this many close games late and have things work out. Worse, they aren’t getting any better, especially Lowe who has been a major reason for the team losing 5 of 7.

It really makes the snub last year hurt even more because that team was getting better and could have done damage in the tourney. Both Pitt and Wake were significantly better last year.

They're won more close games than they've lost. tOSU, VT, Syracuse, UNC were all close games very late.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

We are left with very little margin for error now. One bad loss against the Q3/4s would probably play us out.

I mean, yes, but how many teams would like to just have to win 5 Q3/4 home games where we will be favored by 10+ and then just have to go 2-3 on the road vs 2 teams not even close to NIT level, 2 bubble teams, and 1 higher level team. There's really no excuse not to get 7 more but that doesn't mean they will. I had them at 10-10 following the Clemson loss. We are 1 game ahead of that since I had us losing to Syracuse. I think we probably go 11-9 now. Win the 5 and win 1 road game.

 

[PittPoker]

This team stinks. The annual Capel collapse is on. They won't even be on the bubble by selection time, watch.

 

[PittPoker]

Capel should run a yearly seminar on how to play themselves OFF the bubble. In fact, wasn't this team supposed to be his best one yet here?

He's a terrible coach.

 

[OhioPanther99]

This team stinks. The annual Capel collapse is on. They won't even be on the bubble by selection time, watch.

Related to the Narduzzi Nosedive

 

[Voice of Danno]

The 5 Q3/4 home games plus @ ND and @ NC St. That’s the path. I think we'll win the 5. I dont think we sweep ND/NC St so we are going to have to go 1-2 @ UNC, @ SMU, @ Lou unless we can get in at 11-9 which is a possibility.

All is not lost but we have to basically be perfect in the 7 games we are favored in. The 1 game I think we can get is @ SMU. They are Boopie Miller and WVU-like bums who are just extremely well coached. Not much talent. I would certainly pick SMU but their players aren't as good as Wake, UNC, probably not even ND with Burton back. Enfield is just an excellent coach.

Just winning those 5 plus going 1-2 probably won't be enough. That means only 2 Q1 wins and doubt that will get us in. Especially with bad Big 10 and SEC teams having 3 or 4 Q1 wins. We pretty much need to sweep and hope UNC doesn't fold so they drop below 75 in the NET.

 

[PittPoker]

Just winning those 5 plus going 1-2 probably won't be enough. That means only 2 Q1 wins and doubt that will get us in. Especially with bad Big 10 and SEC teams having 3 or 4 Q1 wins. We pretty much need to sweep and hope UNC doesn't fold so they drop below 75 in the NET.

UNC is currently getting blown out by Duke. They suck too. That win was nothing to get excited about and will mean less and less throughout the rest of the regular season. And I expect them to beat us at UNC next Saturday. Our season and North Carolina's are both over.

 

[pittizit]

2-5 over last 7…I’m sticking to my 18 wins max this year…and another stay at home year

 

[Tvax1]

2-5 over last 7…I’m sticking to my 18 wins max this year…and another stay at home year

bet?

didn't think so

just s$#% talk

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Just winning those 5 plus going 1-2 probably won't be enough. That means only 2 Q1 wins and doubt that will get us in. Especially with bad Big 10 and SEC teams having 3 or 4 Q1 wins. We pretty much need to sweep and hope UNC doesn't fold so they drop below 75 in the NET.

If we won the 5 home games, go 1-2 in the Q1 road games and go 1-1 in the Q2 road games, we would be 21-10/12-8, a NET in the 30s and 0 Q3/4 losses. Yes, only 2 Q1 wins but that would get us in. The fear would be we'd get Dayton again. I previously said that 12-8 wouldn't even be Dayton but I figured we'd win some Q1s and we haven’t done so since Black Friday. So Dayton is a real possibility.

NET moved up 1 to 35 with Oregon's home loss to Nebraska.

 

[Blair_45]

They need a good NET increase win tonight against Virginia. Which means no mercy tonight should be shown on Virginia if they are up by 15-20 points in the last 30 seconds to a minute. Winning this game by 20 instead of 15 could mean a 5 spot jump in NET. And in the position Pitt is in now right on the edge of either making or missing the tournament they need all the good metric help they can get when it comes to NET, Kenpom, and Torvik.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

They need a good NET increase win tonight against Virginia. Which means no mercy tonight should be shown on Virginia if they are up by 15-20 points in the last 30 seconds to a minute. Winning this game by 20 instead of 15 could mean a 5 spot jump in NET. And in the position Pitt is in now right on the edge of either making or missing the tournament they need all the good metric help they can get when it comes to NET, Kenpom, and Torvik.

That would be great but we just need to make sure we win by 1. A loss would make it very difficult to make the NCAAT. UVa plays the slowest pace in the NCAA and they have a few guys who shoot 40% from 3 and that's been an Achilles heel. If they are hot from 3 early, their slow place becomes a problem. Their issue is that they aren't playing defense now that Bennett is gone. They are 215th in defensive efficiency which is worse than us.

 

[Joe the Panther Fan]

Winning this game by 20 instead of 15 could mean a 5 spot jump in NET.

That is EXTREMELY unlikely.

This late in the season your NET isn't going to move that much based on five points one way or the other.

 

[PittPoker]

That is EXTREMELY unlikely.

This late in the season your NET isn't going to move that much based on five points one way or the other.

Lunardi wrote today that beating UVA won't help Pitt at all because they're a really bad team. He also wrote Pitt's resume to get into the NCAA Tournament is not solid anymore. He has us now in a play-in game.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Lunardi wrote today that beating UVA won't help Pitt at all because they're a really bad team.

Ya think?

 

[Blair_45]

Lunardi wrote today that beating UVA won't help Pitt at all because they're a really bad team. He also wrote Pitt's resume to get into the NCAA Tournament is not solid anymore. He has us now in a play-in game.

Well it isn’t really solid anymore and Pitt has no one to blame for that but themselves. They have had opportunities for some solid wins over the last 30 days against Louisville and Clemson at home and at Wake Forest the other day on Saturday and they have won none of those 3 games. Not to mention that loss at Florida State is starting to look worse and worse as well seeing they just lost back to back games to Virginia Tech at home and at Boston College and also lost to both California and Stanford after beating Pitt as well.

That 4 game stretch in early to mid January of losses at Duke getting blown out by 29 and not scoring a point in the last 7 minutes, home to Louisville and Clemson and at Florida State is gonna be a big reason Pitt misses the tournament if they don’t get any solid wins here down the stretch these next 3-4 weeks.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Trying to be a bit more positive now, the path still isn't impossible. UVa is only a Q3 loss, not Q4. What this means is that we will absolutely have to get another Q1 win to offset that.

Need to go 1-2 vs UNC, SMU, Lou and 6-0 in the 4 home games + @ ND, @ NC St. Then win the 7/10 or 8/9 game in the ACCT and that could be enough. Do I think we will do this? No. 10-10 is what I said after the Clemson loss and that's where I think we finish.

 

[Blair_45]

Trying to be a bit more positive now, the path still isn't impossible. UVa is only a Q3 loss, not Q4. What this means is that we will absolutely have to get another Q1 win to offset that.

Need to go 1-2 vs UNC, SMU, Lou and 6-0 in the 4 home games + @ ND, @ NC St. Then win the 7/10 or 8/9 game in the ACCT and that could be enough. Do I think we will do this? No. 10-10 is what I said after the Clemson loss and that's where I think we finish.

I think they need to go 2-1 on the road at UNC, at SMU, and at Louisville after the loss last night to Virginia. One win out of those three games won’t be good enough. I guess I will try and stay positive but after how bad that loss was last night it’s hard to look at this team now and think they should be in the NCAA Tournament.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

I think they need to go 2-1 on the road at UNC, at SMU, and at Louisville after the loss last night to Virginia. One win out of those three games won’t be good enough. I guess I will try and stay positive but after how bad that loss was last night it’s hard to look at this team now and think they should be in the NCAA Tournament.

Its possible that they need to go 2-1 there but as bad as that loss was, it was still "only" Quad 3. All the bubble teams will have a Q3 loss. What could separate us is the non-con SOS. I still think 12-8 could get us in but we now obviously need a Q1 win as we cant just rely on having 0 Q3/4 losses. This all depends on what other bubble teams do, of course.

 

[Blair_45]

I wanna see how Capel and this team bounce back Saturday afternoon at North Carolina. If they show up there and lay another egg like they did last night this season is really over. I expect them to be better in this game and at least be competitive and be in this game in the last 2-3 minutes with a chance to win it.

 

[HailToPitt1985]

This year's ACC is weak, and the wins we do have in many cases are close wins against mediocre teams. With that really bad loss last night, it will take 9-0 or 8-1 the rest of the year to have a chance at being on the bubble. We'll need to win all 3 of @UNC, @SMU and @'Ville. That isn't happening.