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What a win on Saturday means

Sean Miller Fan

Lair Hall of Famer
Oct 30, 2001
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A win on Saturday means that if we win the next 3 games (GT, UVa, VT), it would take some unforeseen events for us to NOT win the division. 4-0 wins it for us I think. Even if we lose the next 2 to Clemson and Miami, the last 2 are at home vs Duke and Syracuse.

If we start 4-0 and finish 6-2, Duke, UNC, and VT all have to win out and go 7-1 to top us and they all play each other. Furthermore, UNC is at FSU and GT plays Clemson tonight.

We would need Miami to lose 3 but they are at VT, GT, NCSU and home with FSU, UNC. So if they beat us, they'd have to lose 3 of those 5 which I think is probable.

So, if we win Saturday, beat GT on HC, take care of business in Charlottesville, that Thursday nighter vs VT will have the feel of a CCG for me because if we win that, I really think we win the division.
 
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I'm not sure what to think of Miami right now. They are ranked #15 crushed App. State at their field; a team that should have won against Tenn in Knoxville. Losing 3 out of 5 in the stretch mentioned is possible for sure.

The same can be said of PITT. After getting torched on defense in the past two games, I'm under no illusion that the defense can hold UNC if the game is on the line. Offensively, I'm also concerned that UNC will completely stack the box with some very fast players and force PITT to win with the passing game. Can the receivers win 1-on1 match-ups? Tipton seems to have some ability in a little role up until this point. Will Matthews and Weah provide some stability at the WR position? There are simply too many ifs at this point to think PITT can start ACC play with a 4-0 record.

With that said, I love the enthusiasm and hope that PITT opens up ACC play with a victory on the road against a tough UNC squad this weekend.
 
Well, it would put Pitt in the very early driver's seat along with finally getting off the schneid vs Fedora, UNC.
 
I'm not sure what to think of Miami right now. They are ranked #15 crushed App. State at their field; a team that should have won against Tenn in Knoxville. Losing 3 out of 5 in the stretch mentioned is possible for sure.

The same can be said of PITT. After getting torched on defense in the past two games, I'm under no illusion that the defense can hold UNC if the game is on the line. Offensively, I'm also concerned that UNC will completely stack the box with some very fast players and force PITT to win with the passing game. Can the receivers win 1-on1 match-ups? Tipton seems to have some ability in a little role up until this point. Will Matthews and Weah provide some stability at the WR position? There are simply too many ifs at this point to think PITT can start ACC play with a 4-0 record.

With that said, I love the enthusiasm and hope that PITT opens up ACC play with a victory on the road against a tough UNC squad this weekend.

I'm not predicting 4-0 but just saying that if we do start 4-0, it would be kinda hard for us to NOT win the division. Either Miami goes 6-2 and I'm not buying them yet or UNC beats FSU and goes 7-1 or VT and GT win out. Just hard to see that.
 
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In my mind Pitt is winning every game...until they don't. One of these years Pitt is going to exceed expectations. It's the law of averages.
 
I'm not predicting 4-0 but just saying that if we do start 4-0, it would be kinda hard for us to NOT win the division. Either Miami goes 6-2 and I'm not buying them yet or UNC beats FSU and goes 7-1 or VT and GT win out. Just hard to see that.
Kind of like in 2010, right? When Pitt had a two game lead on Halloween and didn't need to beat Wvu to win the conference.
I'll feel a little more confident in that statement seeing where Pitt and everyone else is at after the Clemson game.
 
As my old high school coach said many times--- one game at a time boys-- one game at a time.
 
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So with the GT loss tonight, GT can't win the Coastal if Pitt starts 4-0 and finishes 6-2.

If Pitt starts 4-0, which would just take an upset Saturday and 3 wins as the favored team, the ONLY team that can win the Division over us is Miami, assuming we go 6-2, losing to Clemson and Miami and beating Duke and Syracuse. Also, assuming UNC or VT dont go 7-0 in games vs teams other than Pitt.

I just dont trust Miami. They always have talent and they have a real coach now so I think they are going to take some losses, especially on thr road.
 
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