174:
Rd 1: See above for preview, my prediction is a loss but a win is possible
Match 2:
If he wins: Lennox Wolak from Columbia, beat Luca at NCAAs last season. Just won EIWAS and is a very up and down wrestler. This is a toss up matchup.
If he loses: Benny Baker from Cornell who he beat in the dual meet. This would be a match that is probably close but Luca would be expected to win again.
Match 3:
Win, Win: Would have the 2 seed Cade Devos and almost certainly drop to the blood round. An upset wouldn't be impossible but very unlikely.
Win, Lose: Would have Adam Kemp or Brayden Thompson, He beat Thompson in the dual and Kemp is also a winnable matchup
Lose, Win: Would have Adam Kemp or Brayden Thompson, He beat Thompson in the dual and Kemp is also a winnable matchup
Match 4:
Win, Win, Lose: A bunch of guys he could hit here, Most of them he has beat before. This would be a favorable draw for sure if he gets here.
Win, Lose, Win: I expect he sees MJ Gaitan here, he beat him in the dual and would likely be able to do so again.
Lose, Win, Win: A bunch of guys he could have, all would be toss up level matches. Another favorable draw
Match 5:
Win, Lose, Win, Win: Pat Kennedy or Shane Griffith would be the likely opponents. He is the underdog against both, Griffith is banged up so maybe a MFF could happen out of the Quarters and Kennedy is beatable but he is an underdog for sure,
Lose, Win, Win, Win: Rocco Welsh or Ed Ruth would be the likely opponents. Both are the favorite against him. He lost to Ruth in the dual and is the underdog against him. Welsh was his HS teammate and that could be a big advantage or a detractor and I don't know their dynamic well enough to know. But this would be a very interesting matchup.
I predict he loses match 1 and makes a run to bloods but falls to Welsh. Overall, he has a good draw and a chance to AA as an at large selection.