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Advanced Box Score vs WVU

USCPITT

Sophomore
Gold Member
Dec 18, 2014
2,840
6,346
113


Postgame Win Expectancy: Pitt 51%, pretty much a dead-even game

-Unlike against Cincinnati, Pitt had a much better average starting field position.

-Pitt obviously had trouble running the football and the issue falls mainly on the Oline. 2.2 Line Yards per Rush but 1.6 Second Level Yards points to running backs doing well, but not getting any push up front.

-Defense played much better than against Cincinnati, generating 21.1% Havoc rate against WVU vs only 12% against UC. This improvement was mainly in the secondary and it paid off with the turnovers.

-Offensively, the second and third quarters were atrocious with Success Rate of 17.5% and 25%, respectively, with 0% success rate on passing downs in the 3rd. Fourth quarter was an absurd 71%, with 100% success rate on passing downs. The offense was actually a bit more consistent last week against UC, but we have yet to really put together a complete game on offense.

-Pitt was more explosive on offense than WVU, and that was pretty consistent throughout the game despite the struggles in 2nd and 3rd quarters.

-Eli Holstein was by far the best player on the field and is why Pitt won. His best game so far at 23.4 Predicted Points Added, which is even more incredible since he had -3.6 PPA in the 3rd Quarter.
 
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