I looked up the analytics.
4th and goal at the one.
If you go for it:
76% success
24% fail
= 76% chance of winning
Vs
Kick FG (96% success)
+
One play from the 3 (63% success)
+
Stop other team from 3 (37% success)
= 48% chance of winning
So Narduzzi traded a 76% chance of winning for a 48% chance of winning.
Brilliant.
Our head coach has a very low football IQ.
4th and goal at the one.
If you go for it:
76% success
24% fail
= 76% chance of winning
Vs
Kick FG (96% success)
+
One play from the 3 (63% success)
+
Stop other team from 3 (37% success)
= 48% chance of winning
So Narduzzi traded a 76% chance of winning for a 48% chance of winning.
Brilliant.
Our head coach has a very low football IQ.