Are the point spreads out for each of Pitt's football games this year?
- Thread starter cbpitt2
- Start date
Spreads are not available. But Bill Connelly released his 2025 SP+ rankings last week. Vegas largely uses these analytic power rankings now. Removing home field advantage because I don’t know how to calculate that (assuming it’s not the traditional 3 points):
Pitt has a power ranking of 3.4. So a neutral field:
Central Michigan (-14.8): -11.4
WVU (1): -2.4
Lville (12.1): +8.7
BC (.3): -3.1
FSU (7.2): +3.8
Cuse (1.6): -1.8
NC State (4.8): +1.4
Stanford (-6.2): -2.8
ND (24.9): +21.5
GT (4.7): +1.3
Miami (18.8): +15.4
So on a neutral field:
2 score underdogs against 3 teams.
2 score favorite against CMU.
And flip a coin for every other game.
Pitt has a power ranking of 3.4. So a neutral field:
Central Michigan (-14.8): -11.4
WVU (1): -2.4
Lville (12.1): +8.7
BC (.3): -3.1
FSU (7.2): +3.8
Cuse (1.6): -1.8
NC State (4.8): +1.4
Stanford (-6.2): -2.8
ND (24.9): +21.5
GT (4.7): +1.3
Miami (18.8): +15.4
So on a neutral field:
2 score underdogs against 3 teams.
2 score favorite against CMU.
And flip a coin for every other game.
Those ND and Miami lines seem like money making opportunities. We'll lose but I don't think either game is a thorough crushing.
ND is claiming they are going to throw the ball this year. But they claim that every year. I’ll believe it when I see it.
The style of play that usually play, does seem to artificially keep games close. Especially against teams that at least recruit at a decent level and so aren’t completely outclassed on the field.
It's possible we keep them close, but ND has gotten us by a combined score of 103 - 10 in the last two.
Very fair, to cash's point though, they just don't seem to play a style that's conducive to blowing someone out and scoring a ton of points.
Even though they've done just that against Pitt lol.
But when you add in home field several of those games are not actually toss ups. For example, +3.8 against FSU on a neutral field, but that game is on the road. Our actual percentage chance to win that game isn't going to be 50-50, or even close to it. It's going to be a lot more like a 70-30 game.
And you can say something similar about the games at Stanford and at home with Georgia Tech.
