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Bubble Viewing Guide - Tuesday, March 1st

UPitt '89

Board of Trustee
Gold Member
Mar 14, 2002
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March is upon us, and it is now getting down to the nitty-gritty. Here's where Pitt stands at the moment:

RPI: 41
Chances: 74.3%
Most Likely NCAA Seed: 8
Most Likely ACCT Seed: 7

Monday's Losers

Syracuse
3c43474a7c0a73bee6961c823163b3a3.jpg

The Orange missed a chance to punch their ticket last night, with their hard fought loss at UNC. They have a big road game this weekend against FSU. It is almost a must-win. Currently their RPI is 55 and their chances are at a precarious 35.1%

Monday's Winners

Sadly for those of us that like pictures of cheerleaders, there were no bubble team winners last night. So here's a picture of a South Carolina cheerleader:
she-said-it-not-me.jpg

She said it, not me.

Now that we got that out of the way.... let's look at tonight's action.

Tuesday's Bubble Schedule

Kentucky
at Florida (RPI: 48 Chances: 34.1%)
7pm, ESPN
- The Gators are in trouble. They only have two Top-80 wins... St. Joseph's and WVU. That WVU is what keeps them hanging on, despite a 17-12/8-8 record. With RPI-209 Missouri looming on the weekend, tonight is their last chance as a quality win prior to the SEC Tourney. Go Wildcats!

Tennessee
at Vanderbilt (RPI: 49 Chances: 77.9%)
7pm, SECN
- The Commodores are close to being in. But a home loss to a bad Tennessee team might put them into Dayton or even on the wrong side of the bubble if it is followed up by a loss at Texas A&M this weekend. Go Vols!

Ohio
at Akron (RPI: 46 Chances: 47.6%)
8pm, ESPN3
- Most of the Zips' chances are predicated on them winning the MAC. But they do have a 14.2% chance of an at-large bid. This game will decide the #1 seed for the MAC tourney, which could be important. Go Bobcats!

George Mason
at George Washington (RPI: 61 Chances: 23.6%)
8pm, no TV
- It's a battle of the Georges. GW is hanging on to a thread and can't afford another loss before the A-10 final. Go Patriots!

Arkansas State
at Arkansas-Little Rock (RPI: 36 Chances: 66.0%)
8:15, no TV
- The Trojans actually have a fairly decent chance at an at-large bid if they don't win their conference. Bubble teams want them to lose prior to their conference tourney, but then win the conference tourney so they aren't a bid-stealer. For tonight.... Go Red Wolves!

San Diego State (RPI: 56 Chances: 52.6%)
at New Mexico
9:30pm, CBSSN
- The Aztecs are another one of those teams that could be a bid-stealer if they lose in their conference tourney. So in the meantime, bubble teams want them to lose to make that less likely. Go Lobos!

Grand Canyon
at St. Mary's (RPI: 47 Chances: 78.7%)
10pm, no TV
- The Gaels are in the dance right now, even if they lose the WCC tournament. At least at the moment. A home loss to Grand Canyon would be a painful blow. Go Antelopes!
 
Here's Pitt's range of possibilities, as I see it. Ranked from best possible to worst possible:

1. 2-0, 4-0 (win ACCT)
Record: 26-8
RPI: 16
NCAA Seed: 3

2. 1-1, 4-0
Record: 25-9
RPI: 19
NCAA Seed: 3 or 4

3. 2-0, 3-1
Record: 25-9
RPI: 20
NCAA Seed: 4

4. 0-2, 4-0
Record: 24-10
RPI: 27
NCAA Seed: 5

5. 2-0, 2-1
Record: 24-9
RPI: 25
NCAA Seed: 5 or 6

6. 1-1, 3-1
Record: 24-10
RPI: 27
NCAA Seed: 6

7. 2-0, 1-1
Record: 23-9
RPI: 29
NCAA Seed: 7 or 8

8. 0-2, 3-1
Record: 23-11
RPI: 30
NCAA Seed: 7 or 8

9. 1-1, 2-1
Record: 23-10
RPI: 30
NCAA Seed: 8

10. 2-0, 0-1
Record: 22-9
RPI: 35
NCAA Seed: 8 or 9

11. 1-1, 1-1
Record: 22-10
RPI: 36
NCAA Seed: 8 or 9

12. 0-2, 2-1
Record: 22-11
RPI: 39
NCAA Seed: 9

13. 1-1, 0-1
Record: 21-10
RPI: 48
NCAA Seed: 10

14. 0-2, 1-1
Record: 21-11
RPI: 49
NCAA Seed: 11 (Dayton)

15. 0-2, 0-1
Record: 20-11
RPI: 61
NCAA Seed: NONE - NIT
 
Odd scheduling spot for Grand Canyon at St Mary's tonight in one of those weird pre-tournament games that the Gaels sometimes book. Almost a bowl type game for Grand Canyon as they are ineligible for the NCAA and conference tournaments. With their record and RPI you would think they would be a strong NIT candidate, but you never know.
 
Tonight ended well for us with clemson and ga tech falling.
 
The Clemson loss moves Pitt into sole possession of the #6 seed at the moment.
 
I just want to go 1/3 or get in anyway possible
 
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