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CFP, NY6, and ACC bowl thoughts

Sean Miller Fan

Lair Hall of Famer
Oct 30, 2001
70,051
22,831
113
1. Clemson
2. Alabama
3. Oklahoma
4. Michigan State
5. Stanford
6. Iowa
7. Ohio State
8. Notre Dame
9. Florida State
10. TCU
11. Mississippi
Auto Qualifier: Houston

Orange: Clemson vs Michigan State
Cotton: Alabama vs Oklahoma
Peach: Florida State vs Houston
Fiesta: Ohio State vs Notre Dame
Rose: Stanford vs Iowa
Sugar: TCU vs Mississippi

Russell Athletic: North Carolina

Tier 1 bowls:
Taxslayer.com: Penn State
Music City: Louisville
Belk: Virginia Tech
Pinstripe: Miami
Sun: Pitt

Tier 2 bowls:
Military: NC State
Independence: Duke

The CFP is set. The only drama will be who gets the Rose Bowl. It goes to the highest ranked Big Ten team. Iowa is 12-1, Ohio State is 11-1. Both teams' only loss was a 3 point loss to Michigan State. Neither team has a lot of good victories. Ohio State has the best win @ Michigan. Iowa has the next 2, @ Wisky and @ NW. Its very very close but as a "tiebreaker," I'm going with Iowa since they won their division.

The Russell Athletic Bowl is set. UNC.

The Taxslayer.com Bowl is set. Their exec director flat out said they are picking Penn State if Florida State is available. The Music City would probably want them also but PSU fans seem to favor Jacksonville over Nashville.

The Music City seems set. Miami/Georgia could be an enticing matchup for them given the Richt factor. But, Louisville is only 2.5 hours north and you would figure have a ton of alumni in the Nashville area. They would sell far too many tickets to get turned down here.

After this, it gets dicey. I don't know what the Belk Bowl does. Normally, you'd figure that NC State would go here. They travel very well and won't have to leave the state. However, its Beamer's last game and VT fans would also travel well to see that. I have been saying NC State here all week and it wouldn't surprise me if that held true but I'm going to say that the Belk doesn't pass up the chance to host the last game of a legend and the pageantry that would go along with that.

Miami would be the top choice for both the Sun and Pinstripe but they'll choose NYC. Almost guaranteed.

The Sun Bowl would have no choice but to pick Pitt at 8-4 because we can't fall to Tier 2 with 6-6 VT in the Belk. Either way, I don't see any way we end up in a bowl other than the Sun. If the Belk picks NC State, the Sun would still pick us over Duke, who travels worse than we do and won't draw the TV ratings we would.

For the Tier 2 bowls, I'd guess that NC State is the top choice of both the Independence, Military , and Quick Lane Bowls but I don't think the SEC can fill the Independence unless 5-7 Kentucky ends up there so I think NC State will stay closer to home to play a really good Navy team instead of some CUSA or other AAC team or Kentucky in Shreveport. This would mean Duke to Shreveport. They are closer to Detroit but the Big Ten won't fill that game unless a 5-7 team takes it. I'd say Duke would rather play a 5-7 BT team in Detroit than Kentucky, a CUSA team or Sun Belt team.

Look for Pitt vs Utah in El Paso.
 
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1. Clemson
2. Alabama
3. Oklahoma
4. Michigan State
5. Stanford
6. Iowa
7. Ohio State
8. Notre Dame
9. Florida State
10. TCU
11. Mississippi
Auto Qualifier: Houston

Orange: Clemson vs Michigan State
Cotton: Alabama vs Oklahoma
Peach: Florida State vs Houston
Fiesta: Ohio State vs Notre Dame
Rose: Stanford vs Iowa
Sugar: TCU vs Mississippi

Russell Athletic: North Carolina

Tier 1 bowls:
Taxslayer.com: Penn State
Music City: Louisville
Belk: Virginia Tech
Pinstripe: Miami
Sun: Pitt

Tier 2 bowls:
Military: NC State
Independence: Duke

The CFP is set. The only drama will be who gets the Rose Bowl. It goes to the highest ranked Big Ten team. Iowa is 12-1, Ohio State is 11-1. Both teams' only loss was a 3 point loss to Michigan State. Neither team has a lot of good victories. Ohio State has the best win @ Michigan. Iowa has the next 2, @ Wisky and @ NW. Its very very close but as a "tiebreaker," I'm going with Iowa since they won their division.

The Russell Athletic Bowl is set. UNC.

The Taxslayer.com Bowl is set. Their exec director flat out said they are picking Penn State if Florida State is available. The Music City would probably want them also but PSU fans seem to favor Jacksonville over Nashville.

The Music City seems set. Miami/Georgia could be an enticing matchup for them given the Richt factor. But, Louisville is only 2.5 hours north and you would figure have a ton of alumni in the Nashville area. They would sell far too many tickets to get turned down here.

After this, it gets dicey. I don't know what the Belk Bowl does. Normally, you'd figure that NC State would go here. They travel very well and won't have to leave the state. However, its Beamer's last game and VT fans would also travel well to see that. I have been saying NC State here all week and it wouldn't surprise me if that held true but I'm going to say that the Belk doesn't pass up the chance to host the last game of a legend and the pageantry that would go along with that.

Miami would be the top choice for both the Sun and Pinstripe but they'll choose NYC. Almost guaranteed.

The Sun Bowl would have no choice but to pick Pitt at 8-4 because we can't fall to Tier 2 with 6-6 VT in the Belk. Either way, I don't see any way we end up in a bowl other than the Sun. If the Belk picks NC State, the Sun would still pick us over Duke, who travels worse than we do and won't draw the TV ratings we would.

For the Tier 2 bowls, I'd guess that NC State is the top choice of both the Independence, Military , and Quick Lane Bowls but I don't think the SEC can fill the Independence unless 5-7 Kentucky ends up there so I think NC State will stay closer to home to play a really good Navy team instead of some CUSA or other AAC team or Kentucky in Shreveport. This would mean Duke to Shreveport. They are closer to Detroit but the Big Ten won't fill that game unless a 5-7 team takes it. I'd say Duke would rather play a 5-7 BT team in Detroit than Kentucky, a CUSA team or Sun Belt team.

Look for Pitt vs Utah in El Paso.
I agree with much of what you wrote..... but I think we'll be playing WSU instead of Utah.

I also think the Peach will have ND vs FSU..... the Peach basically replaces the Orange this year, and will select the Irish over Ohio State, I believe.

I think the Big Ten might maneuver things so OSU goes to the Rose and Iowa goes to the Fiesta.... which would suck for Iowa... missing the playoffs by 3 points and getting stuck playing Houston.
 
I agree with much of what you wrote..... but I think we'll be playing WSU instead of Utah.

I also think the Peach will have ND vs FSU..... the Peach basically replaces the Orange this year, and will select the Irish over Ohio State, I believe.

I think the Big Ten might maneuver things so OSU goes to the Rose and Iowa goes to the Fiesta.... which would suck for Iowa... missing the playoffs by 3 points and getting stuck playing Houston.

Pac 12
Rose: Stanford
Alamo: Oregon
Holiday: UCLA
Foster Farms: USC
Sun: Utah

How do you see the Pac 12 going?
 
I think Utah is going to the Las Vegas Royal Purple bowl to play against their natural rival, BYU.

We'll get WSU.
 
I think Utah is going to the Las Vegas Royal Purple bowl to play against their natural rival, BYU.

We'll get WSU.

I didn't think about that. Utah would have to pull some strings to make that work because the Sun picks first and would rather have them than WSU but neither team would travel well on Dec 26 anyway. The Pac 12's bowl selections are more old-school. Its a straight draft and the Sun picks before the Las Vegas. But, the Sun and LV could work together to make it happen.

I'd rather play Washington State in El Paso than Indiana or Minnesota in NYC. I like the Pinstripe Bowl but Indiana and Minnesota are bad programs. So is WSU but at least they do something every 10 years.
 
I didn't think about that.
I'd rather play Washington State in El Paso than Indiana or Minnesota in NYC. I like the Pinstripe Bowl but Indiana and Minnesota are bad programs. So is WSU but at least they do something every 10 years.
Wazzou would scare the life out of me with their NCAA stat ranked #1 passing game at 397 yards per game.
 
Duzzy can plan all he wants for WSU passing attack. Pitt still has to play Maddox at corner. Vince Lombardi wouldn't come up with a game plan to compensate for Maddox deficiencies.
 
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