If they want to survive beyond the departures of Clemson and FSU with even a modicum of respectability, they need to expand now. 1) Because they need whatever P5 teams they can get asap, while they're still available to be had, and 2) Because they need time to "build the brand" for any G5 additions. Hope they can have a little success and be perceived like a TCU or something, as opposed to adding them after the better teams leave and it looking like a move of complete desperation, like the old Big East. One thing the Big 12 did was add G5 teams that have at least a little bit of clout (minus Houston). There aren't many of those left.
However, yes. None of this will matter if we're talking about overall perception. It would just be another Big 12 once the better teams left.
This is the disconnect with all of these fans and schools. And another poster touched on it with a post when he discussed individual school interests vs conference interest.
There’s 4 types of fans/schools right now in the ACC:
1. Those that truly believe they have a seat waiting for them at one of the Big 2 and just want out of the ACC and aren’t interested in anything else because it’s not good enough. They want the conference to implode if that’s what it takes.
2. Those that think they have a shot at a seat in the Big 2 depending on how expansion goes, but know they at least have a seat locked in at the distant 3rd conference, regardless of what conference that ends up being.
3. Those that don’t think they have a seat at the Big 2, and think they probably do have a seat in the Big 12 if that ends up being the third conference, but are worried it’s not a lock if spots fill up and the ACC collapses. Because the teams in group 2 will get them first. So really want the ACC to win the war for third place.
4. Those that believe they will never get an invite to any other conference. And their existence as a major football entity is solely dependent on their current conference winning the war for the number 3 conference.
Some of this “no brainer” stuff and “make moves” and “get off your ass, ACC” and “take them just to hurt the Big 12,” to the extent they make any sense, only make sense if you’re one of the last 2 groups. Which is why I said the one AD must be like BC’s AD. Or Wake’s.
But it makes no sense for sure if you’re in the first group. And probably makes no sense if you’re in the second group.
Which is why it’s a non-starter and has not happened. And will not happen. The interests of these groups is just not aligned. Which is one of the big problems for the ACC right now. It’s not a “conference” in that sense. It’s a prison guard with its guns (GOR) pointed at rival gangs, and will just open fire the second they start attacking each other.