I think Jamie having two games like that on the schedule shows that it's getting harder to play the RPI game, but that said we are in good shape this year with the RPI--assuming we take care of business.
Looking at things in depth, if we were to lose to Davidson on a neutral floor, it's going to likely cost us 10 RPI spots. That's how critical that game is right now.
Working under the assumption that we beat Davidson, we would have to win 11 in the ACC to finish the regular season with 20 wins overall. If we do that, we will have a marquee home win along the way vs a Duke, Louisville or Virginia, or will have a quality road win somewhere else. Our RPI would then be in the 20's and we would be assured a spot in the NCAA tourney.
It's also likely that we at least stumble along the way, have a quality win and finish with a 10-8 ACC record (19 wins overall) and RPI in the mid to upper 30's. We will then be entering the ACC tourney somewhere on the bubble.
A win vs Davidson and 11 ACC wins should be our minimum goal to firmly make the NCAA and not be sweating during conference tourney week.
A win vs Davidson and 12 ACC wins should be our stretch goal if we want a seed in the NCAA that avoids the top seeds in round of 32.
A win vs Davidson and 13 wins may have our RPI in the teens and no worse than a 3, 4 or 5 seed.