There are 12 bubble teams in action tonight.... a veritable cornucopia of bubble watching for those so inclined. (Though five of the bubble teams aren't on TV, not even ESPN3).
But first, let's look at last night's action, which was very good from Pitt's perspective. Five bubble teams lost, two more teams who were hoping to get on the bubble saw their hopes dashed, and only two bubble teams won.
Pitt's NCAA chances actually went from 63.5% to 64.6% without even playing. That's a good day.
Tuesday's Winners
Vanderbilt
Vandy got a "leg up" on the rest of the bubble field with their big win over fellow SEC bubble team Florida, at Florida. The win rocketed Vandy's NCAA chances from 46.4% up to 63.0% and moved them onto the good side of the bubble.
Tulsa
Tulsa is "flying high" after their win at home over fellow AAC bubble team Temple, and saw their NCAA chances move dangerously close to "lock" level - up from 73.8% to 83.7%.
Tuesday's Losers
Akron
Akron saw their NCAA chances fall from 63.4% to 45.3% after a horrendous loss at MAC bottom-feeder Miami(OH). Worse than that, their at-large chances went from 30.2% to 14.9%. They pretty much have to win the MAC now. Bad night, Zips.
Florida
The Gators' NCAA chances took a major hit last night with their home loss against the aforementioned Vanderbilt. From 68.1% down to 47.9%.
Ohio State
The Buckeyes' already slim NCAA chances took another big hit last night when they got crushed at home by Michigan State. They've now fallen off the bubble for the time being... chances down from 12.4% to 6.2%. They'll need a major run to get back on the bubble.
Temple
The Owls' loss at Tulsa doesn't hurt them that much.... even though they were beaten by 19. Their NCAA chances fell from 73.9% to 66.6% however, and they missed an opportunity to move themselves into "lock" territory.
Alabama
The Crimson Tide's loss at Kentucky is nothing to be ashamed about, but it was a missed opportunity for a struggling team to move back onto the good side of the bubble. They're on life support now, and need to make a serious run. Their chances fell from 15.3% to 11.5%
Clemson and LSU
A couple of Tigers lost to bad teams on the road last night and saw their already-dim NCAA hopes fall to almost nil. Clemson blew a late lead at Georgia Tech and saw their chances fall from 6.5% to 3.5%. They need a long run in the ACCT to have a chance now. Similarly, LSU went into Arkansas and got their doors blown off. Even with perhaps the NCAA's best player in Simmons, LSU saw their chances drop from 6.4% to 3.9%. Anything short of winning out through the SEC Finals, and they're out - maybe even then.
Wednesday's Bubble Action
A TON of bubble games tonight, the most important one for us taking place at the Pete. No shortage of other games to watch, though.
Louisville
at Pitt (RPI: 36 Chances: 64.6%)
8pm, ThisTV/ESPN3
- A win by Pitt might be enough to punch their ticket. Coming off of an impressive road win at Syracuse, will our Panthers find a way to get it done against a team that has beaten them 7 straight times? Go Panthers!
Northwestern
at Michigan (RPI: 53 Chances: 63.0%)
- A win at home against struggling Northwestern won't improve Michigan's chances very much.... but a loss would be very damaging. Go Wildcats!
George Washington (RPI: 52 Chances: 29.8%)
at Richmond
7pm, no TV
- George Washington needs to keep winning. Any loss might move them off the bubble, and a loss at lowly Richmond would be very painful. Go Spiders!
Duquesne
at St. Bonaventure (RPI: 35 Chances: 60.0%)
7pm, no TV
- The Dukes can do all bubble teams a solid by upsetting the Bonnies on the road. Go Dukes!
VCU (RPI: 47 Chances: 84.7%)
at George Mason
7pm, no TV
- The Rams are currently solidly in the dance, but they can't afford a late season collapse. George Mason is a bad team, but they are tough at home. Go Patriots!
Marquette
at Creighton (RPI: 81 Chances: 24.8%)
8pm, no TV
- The Cardinals are in danger of falling off the bubble with any more regular season losses, especially ones at home to bad teams like Marquette. Go Golden Eagles/Warriors!
Wisconsin (RPI: 45 Chances: 74.4%)
at Iowa
9pm. BTN
- With a win, the Badgers are probably a lock. A road win against a ranked team will do that. Go Hawkeyes!
St. Joseph's (RPI: 27 Chances: 90.4%)
at UMass
7pm, no TV
- St. Joe's is probably in the dance barring a late-season complete collapse, but a loss at sub-.500 UMass would not be a good look. Go Minutemen!
Arizona
at Colorado (RPI: 34 Chances: 42.4%)
9pm, ESPN2
- The Buffaloes could use a high-profile win against P12 blue-blood Arizona to put them on the good side of the bubble. Go Fightin' Sean Millers!
San Diego St (RPI:48 Chances: 50.7%)
at Wyoming
10pm, CBSSN
- The Aztecs are in a precarious position if they don't manage to win the MWC. Wins on the road always help. Go Cowboys!
Washington (RPI: 71 Chances: 9.2%)
at Oregon St (RPI: 33 Chances: 44.8%)
11pm, ESPNU
- Washington's slim hopes would get a big boost with a road win against fellow bubbler Oregon St. If Washington wins, these two teams probably switch places on the bubble. An Oregon State win eliminates Washington from contention, so.... Go Beavers!
But first, let's look at last night's action, which was very good from Pitt's perspective. Five bubble teams lost, two more teams who were hoping to get on the bubble saw their hopes dashed, and only two bubble teams won.
Pitt's NCAA chances actually went from 63.5% to 64.6% without even playing. That's a good day.
Tuesday's Winners
Vanderbilt
Vandy got a "leg up" on the rest of the bubble field with their big win over fellow SEC bubble team Florida, at Florida. The win rocketed Vandy's NCAA chances from 46.4% up to 63.0% and moved them onto the good side of the bubble.
Tulsa
Tulsa is "flying high" after their win at home over fellow AAC bubble team Temple, and saw their NCAA chances move dangerously close to "lock" level - up from 73.8% to 83.7%.
Tuesday's Losers
Akron
Akron saw their NCAA chances fall from 63.4% to 45.3% after a horrendous loss at MAC bottom-feeder Miami(OH). Worse than that, their at-large chances went from 30.2% to 14.9%. They pretty much have to win the MAC now. Bad night, Zips.
Florida
The Gators' NCAA chances took a major hit last night with their home loss against the aforementioned Vanderbilt. From 68.1% down to 47.9%.
Ohio State
The Buckeyes' already slim NCAA chances took another big hit last night when they got crushed at home by Michigan State. They've now fallen off the bubble for the time being... chances down from 12.4% to 6.2%. They'll need a major run to get back on the bubble.
Temple
The Owls' loss at Tulsa doesn't hurt them that much.... even though they were beaten by 19. Their NCAA chances fell from 73.9% to 66.6% however, and they missed an opportunity to move themselves into "lock" territory.
Alabama
The Crimson Tide's loss at Kentucky is nothing to be ashamed about, but it was a missed opportunity for a struggling team to move back onto the good side of the bubble. They're on life support now, and need to make a serious run. Their chances fell from 15.3% to 11.5%
Clemson and LSU
A couple of Tigers lost to bad teams on the road last night and saw their already-dim NCAA hopes fall to almost nil. Clemson blew a late lead at Georgia Tech and saw their chances fall from 6.5% to 3.5%. They need a long run in the ACCT to have a chance now. Similarly, LSU went into Arkansas and got their doors blown off. Even with perhaps the NCAA's best player in Simmons, LSU saw their chances drop from 6.4% to 3.9%. Anything short of winning out through the SEC Finals, and they're out - maybe even then.
Wednesday's Bubble Action
A TON of bubble games tonight, the most important one for us taking place at the Pete. No shortage of other games to watch, though.
Louisville
at Pitt (RPI: 36 Chances: 64.6%)
8pm, ThisTV/ESPN3
- A win by Pitt might be enough to punch their ticket. Coming off of an impressive road win at Syracuse, will our Panthers find a way to get it done against a team that has beaten them 7 straight times? Go Panthers!
Northwestern
at Michigan (RPI: 53 Chances: 63.0%)
- A win at home against struggling Northwestern won't improve Michigan's chances very much.... but a loss would be very damaging. Go Wildcats!
George Washington (RPI: 52 Chances: 29.8%)
at Richmond
7pm, no TV
- George Washington needs to keep winning. Any loss might move them off the bubble, and a loss at lowly Richmond would be very painful. Go Spiders!
Duquesne
at St. Bonaventure (RPI: 35 Chances: 60.0%)
7pm, no TV
- The Dukes can do all bubble teams a solid by upsetting the Bonnies on the road. Go Dukes!
VCU (RPI: 47 Chances: 84.7%)
at George Mason
7pm, no TV
- The Rams are currently solidly in the dance, but they can't afford a late season collapse. George Mason is a bad team, but they are tough at home. Go Patriots!
Marquette
at Creighton (RPI: 81 Chances: 24.8%)
8pm, no TV
- The Cardinals are in danger of falling off the bubble with any more regular season losses, especially ones at home to bad teams like Marquette. Go Golden Eagles/Warriors!
Wisconsin (RPI: 45 Chances: 74.4%)
at Iowa
9pm. BTN
- With a win, the Badgers are probably a lock. A road win against a ranked team will do that. Go Hawkeyes!
St. Joseph's (RPI: 27 Chances: 90.4%)
at UMass
7pm, no TV
- St. Joe's is probably in the dance barring a late-season complete collapse, but a loss at sub-.500 UMass would not be a good look. Go Minutemen!
Arizona
at Colorado (RPI: 34 Chances: 42.4%)
9pm, ESPN2
- The Buffaloes could use a high-profile win against P12 blue-blood Arizona to put them on the good side of the bubble. Go Fightin' Sean Millers!
San Diego St (RPI:48 Chances: 50.7%)
at Wyoming
10pm, CBSSN
- The Aztecs are in a precarious position if they don't manage to win the MWC. Wins on the road always help. Go Cowboys!
Washington (RPI: 71 Chances: 9.2%)
at Oregon St (RPI: 33 Chances: 44.8%)
11pm, ESPNU
- Washington's slim hopes would get a big boost with a road win against fellow bubbler Oregon St. If Washington wins, these two teams probably switch places on the bubble. An Oregon State win eliminates Washington from contention, so.... Go Beavers!
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