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New CTE study results

The fact is that the majority of brain injuries and concussions occur as a result of BODY tackles and the body suddenly stopping as a result of a hit. Yes, some concussions are a result of direct hits to the head, helmet or not. And there is no helmet made today that can prevent or reduce the occurrences of those types of concussions. But the body stopping very suddenly while the head keeps going forward violently is what causes most concussions. The brain is just floating in fluid inside a hard shell. It has virtually no protection from impact with the skull. And if that is done repeatedly, it exacerbates the condition.

This is exactly right.
 
That is extremely low on the risk level, especially with all the knowledge out there about concussions. Now, if the school/company/coaches knowingly played the kid with elevated risk, after a concussion or withheld medical information, that could cause issues, but the difference there is malice.


But my post had nothing to do with the risk level.....I only meant to make a prediction brought upon by the overwhelming evidence out there.....and how far the repercussions of this evidence may go.
 
The school districts.....recognizing this event is happening with greater occurrence and is costing them more and more money paying insurance premiums, settlements, litigation.....finally decide to stop playing football at the high school level as the liability from legal action is killing them.

This won't be why high schools drop football. Lack of funding will do that by itself. But safety and liability exposure will be at the top of the list when it comes to excuses to make the cut.

When you look at HS sports, football is the only one that doesn't have some sort of "club team" that plays in the off-season. If you play almost any other HS sport, there is probably a really good opportunity to play on a quality club team against better competition somewhere else. Football will be no different.
 
But my post had nothing to do with the risk level.....I only meant to make a prediction brought upon by the overwhelming evidence out there.....and how far the repercussions of this evidence may go.
The "overwhelming evidence" is a big reason why that is a very unlikely scenario.
 
I don't think pension factor comes into the equation, at all. Teams aren't cutting guys because they are close to getting their pension years in. Guys get cut because they aren't good enough to be impact players and they don't have the upside left to be better lottery tickets than the younger players with less baggage. Plus, the NFL now allows for veteran salary cap hit benefit once a player has 4+ years of experience, so they only count as a 2nd year player. That is what really matters for NFL teams. That changed a few years back, so before that, sure, that was an issue, but it isn't now under this new CBA.

Also, the money is what makes it worth it and why most of these guys do it. What are the other options for most of these players, if they weren't football players? Let's even consider their options as a college grad and just disregard the fact 50% (probably much higher) wouldn't have degrees at all and 90% wouldn't have degrees from equivalent level Universities, if it wasn't for football. Just that alone is probably worth it for most of them.

What do you think they make with, mostly, trash degrees and low GPAs? Maybe average career earnings of around the median income? So an average of like $55k a year for 40 years? So $2.2M? They can make that chasing the minimums in the NFL for 3+ years and they still have 35 years of a regular job. For most people, that alone would be worth it. However, there is also the upside you can make enough money in 5 years that you and your family never have to work again.

If you are the #32 pick you get $8.5M over 5 years, guaranteed. That isn't the ceiling, but even that, for 5 years of work is astronomical. That is the kind of money where you can easily live the rest of your life without having to work at all AND leave wealth to your family.

What careers are "worth it" if football doesn't qualify as one? Are they only steady, secure jobs where you have almost no chance at life changing money, but also have very little downside?

Every guy I know that wasn't a super star had the same experience. It's financially easier to add a rookie than it is to hold on to a third year guy on the back end of the roster. I'm not talking about first round guys. I'm talking about the guys that fall in the "not the star" category. There's even a large percentage of starters that don't make squat. Villanueva comes to mind. He got $615k to start a full season at left tackle. Same as Leterrius Walton did. If he would have gone down with an injury and not been able to come back, what's his worth? He'd have ended up signing somewhere for next to nothing, hoping to play back to a good contract position. And hoping he wasn't "too expensive" compared to the rookie they just brought in. That's how it works.

Don't get me wrong, I understand where you're coming from. I think if you started tracking down a list of "oh, I remember that name" guys, you'll find that they're not in great financial shape ten years out of the league and the lucky ones are working in those $50k jobs.
 
Every guy I know that wasn't a super star had the same experience. It's financially easier to add a rookie than it is to hold on to a third year guy on the back end of the roster. I'm not talking about first round guys. I'm talking about the guys that fall in the "not the star" category. There's even a large percentage of starters that don't make squat. Villanueva comes to mind. He got $615k to start a full season at left tackle. Same as Leterrius Walton did. If he would have gone down with an injury and not been able to come back, what's his worth? He'd have ended up signing somewhere for next to nothing, hoping to play back to a good contract position. And hoping he wasn't "too expensive" compared to the rookie they just brought in. That's how it works.

Don't get me wrong, I understand where you're coming from. I think if you started tracking down a list of "oh, I remember that name" guys, you'll find that they're not in great financial shape ten years out of the league and the lucky ones are working in those $50k jobs.
But with the new CBA, it isn't really "financially easier". The difference is: what is the upside to the 3rd year vet who only plays ST vs. the rookie? Practically zilch. That is especially true when you start adding in injuries and distractions. That is why those guys get replaced. Very, very few of them get replaced for salary reasons when they are making the minimums.

That is undoubtedly true. Why is that? Most of these guys are morons. They are making $500k (before taxes and agency fees, etc.) and spending $600k. A lot are guys who came from nothing, were just passed through their HS and our Universities, and maybe given a piece of paper for staying around for 4-5 years. They watch their teammates, who can afford it, and blow their cash and take loans and are living paycheck to paycheck. They get out of the league and they have less than when they entered. That has absolutely nothing to do with it being worth it. That has everything to do with them being idiots, who don't make smart financial decisions. Our society has the same problem for the guys making $50K and living like they make $75k.

I actually heard a 68 year old guy, who probably makes about $130k a year, say he needs to figure out his retirement savings and tell some 35 year old they should save "at least the 5% match" and "he wishes he did that". The moron is 68 and his advice is to save 5% for retirement. It isn't just athletes.

If you can make $2M (before taxes) in 4 years and you aren't financially stable, that isn't a problem with the sport or the league. That is a problem with you.
 
The study is not flawed. The study accurately describes the study group and acknowledges that there is selection bias due to the nature of sample collection.

Some facts that stand out:
  • Both a punter and a kicker were confirmed to have CTE.
  • Linemen represent over half of the survey (more of them on the field?)
  • Three high school players (20% of the HS sample) had CTE
  • Every single sample in the survey had damage but not all CTE
You'll hear a lot of reasons why this study is wrong but it wasn't conceived to decisively prove anything other than much more research is needed.

Side note, "local" star and recent retiree, Andrew Hawkins from Johnstown, just announced that he is donating his brain to the study. He just graduated from Colombia University with a degree in sports management. No dummy. If you want to know more, here is a link to the Concussion Legacy Foundation.
son of former Pitt running back Artrell Hawkins..
 
I don't think it's always that simple but your point is well taken.

The point of the whole discussion is, at what point is it "worth it".
I'm not saying they all make that, but if you make $2M in 4 years, you should be on easy street the rest of your life. As a single guy (22-26) you can live great on $100k per year, so that means you should easily be able to have $950k in savings at 27 years old. The problem is most of these guys aren't very bright and get caught up in "living large". Of course, again, that plays into the fact that without football many of them wouldn't even sniff a University and they'd be lucky to have a decent job, ever. So, for the vast majority, those chasing down pension years in the pros have already made a hell of a lot from the game, which they would otherwise have missed out on.
 
I do think this......all of these "Friday Night Tykes" and crap like this......kids at least until Jr High have no need to play organized, tackle football as is currently set up, with some guy who manages a 7-11 thinks he is the local version of Nick Saban. I see guys immortalized.....as Pee Wee coaches. No. Sorry. Kids should not be allowed to play this form of football until at least 13-14 years old.
 
People can always claim that there isn't enough evidence for things as a justification and all the research in the world won't satisy some, but it's common sense that getting hit hard in the head over and over again during ones career will likely cause issues.
Yes, its like the smokers and tobacco companies that tried to discredit research that showed smoking was harmful to your health. A non-smoker will cough involuntarily, to expel the nasty smoke in their lungs, if they accidentally breath some in, because its not supposed to be there. Common sense says that pumping smoke into your lungs all day long, day after day, will lead to serious health issues.

And the decline in youth football participation in most of the country happened quickly, and its been very steep in most places. As a fan, its sad to say this, but football is going to go the way of boxing. Kids from poor, uneducated families, will continue to play it for the glory and as a way out of poverty. But families who think their kids have other options will not let their kids play. LeBron, who loved football, won't let his kids play.

This study, biased or not, is just one more nail in the coffin.
 
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