Hypothetical ahead: Lets say pitt gets the best of all worlds: Pitt gets lee and lewis (the l'ville guys) and maia as grad transfers. Maia, Luther, and Young split time at the five. Lee and lewis both average 10 points a game. What do you think pitt's record ends up being? Are lee and lewis worth an extra 2 wins? 3 wins? Five wins?
And why should pitt ever expect to get top tier grad transfers if they do not expect to get top tier recruits? it is a pipe dream for pitt to get first dibbs on grad transfers
If Lee and Lewis had the same results at Pitt as they had at U of L, I believe this is worth at least 3 wins, maybe as many as 5, since we'd have had a higher seed in the ACCT and could've advanced to the semi-finals. 6 seed or higher in the NCAAT as well.
As for our "expectations", I think that the key is playing time. Any grad transfer who's worth seeking will want playing time. Next year's U of L team will be mostly SO and JR, so getting a couple add'l. grad transfers would work for them. If there is a grad transfer out there who plays PG and who would get playing time at Pitt, it would answer a huge need. Would allow one of our newcomers / soph's to work into the position.