I was watching the pre-Davidson press conference on Pitt Live Wire and probably half of it was Jamie defending the OOC. I totally agree that it is a really good "RPI schedule" and so far, it has been manipulated almost to perfection. I appreciate that in the sense that it gets us closer to our goal of an NCAA bid and good seed. I don't think anyone is looking at Pitt's schedule and saying, the RPI or SOS is bad, its that they haven't played enough brand-name teams to get Pitt's now apathetic basketball fanbase engaged and enthused before the Steelers are done.
For years, I have tried to point out that some OOC home games had little to no monetary value. Inotherwords, you can drop the game entirely and sell the same number of season tickets. The parking and concessions made off the game wouldn't offset the other team's appearance fee plus the cost of turning on the lights and staffing the Pete. The usuals disagreed with this stating that because Pitt prints a dollar amount on each season ticket, that is what is used to determine how much the game is worth financially. That's untrue of course but I think most of us can finally agree that Pitt is not making any extra money by playing a team like Central Arkansas, where I estimated was only attended by 2500 people. Morehead State, a good mid-major, was only around 2K.
So, it has become clear that Pitt has to dump some home games. Its probably costing them more to staff the place than the money being made off it. So, here is my ideal schedule for next year:
Home
2K Sports home game (we have no control over)
2K Sports home game (we have no control over)
Duquesne (one year at Pete, one year at CEC with the CEC game being a joint home game)
RMU
a good MAC school like Akron or Kent State
mid-major
mid-major
WVU
Temple (just as an example)
Road
Big Ten
Xavier (just as an example)
Neutral
Michigan, Marquette, or SMU @ MSG
Michigan, Marquette, or SMU @ MSG
9 home games is still a lot. WVU will sell out. Temple has a big enough brand name and going to Philly the next year wouldn't hurt recruiting. Duquesne at home should draw a big crowd.
The main difference between this year and this proposed schedule is that the proposed one includes 6 games that are not guaranteed victories. This year, we only had 3 (Gon, Pur, Dav). You go 3-3 in those games and you're fine. 2-4, assuming you don't slip up somewhere else and you probably need to go 10-8 in the ACC but we went into the ACCT at 11-7 2 years ago with many people thinking we'd be right on the bubble if we lost to Wake in our first game and we ran through that OOC.
Ohio State is a great test case this year. They played a very difficult OOC. Too difficult really. They lost all of them but managed to beat Kentucky. That is a huge win. So big that despite all their losses, despite their 8-5 OOC record, they probably make the NCAAT if they go 10-8 in the B10. Now, if they played all cupcakes in the OOC and went 12-1, they probably would still need to 10-8, maybe 9-9. Point is those losses don't really hurt them and the trade-off of the UK win made it all worth it.
For years, I have tried to point out that some OOC home games had little to no monetary value. Inotherwords, you can drop the game entirely and sell the same number of season tickets. The parking and concessions made off the game wouldn't offset the other team's appearance fee plus the cost of turning on the lights and staffing the Pete. The usuals disagreed with this stating that because Pitt prints a dollar amount on each season ticket, that is what is used to determine how much the game is worth financially. That's untrue of course but I think most of us can finally agree that Pitt is not making any extra money by playing a team like Central Arkansas, where I estimated was only attended by 2500 people. Morehead State, a good mid-major, was only around 2K.
So, it has become clear that Pitt has to dump some home games. Its probably costing them more to staff the place than the money being made off it. So, here is my ideal schedule for next year:
Home
2K Sports home game (we have no control over)
2K Sports home game (we have no control over)
Duquesne (one year at Pete, one year at CEC with the CEC game being a joint home game)
RMU
a good MAC school like Akron or Kent State
mid-major
mid-major
WVU
Temple (just as an example)
Road
Big Ten
Xavier (just as an example)
Neutral
Michigan, Marquette, or SMU @ MSG
Michigan, Marquette, or SMU @ MSG
9 home games is still a lot. WVU will sell out. Temple has a big enough brand name and going to Philly the next year wouldn't hurt recruiting. Duquesne at home should draw a big crowd.
The main difference between this year and this proposed schedule is that the proposed one includes 6 games that are not guaranteed victories. This year, we only had 3 (Gon, Pur, Dav). You go 3-3 in those games and you're fine. 2-4, assuming you don't slip up somewhere else and you probably need to go 10-8 in the ACC but we went into the ACCT at 11-7 2 years ago with many people thinking we'd be right on the bubble if we lost to Wake in our first game and we ran through that OOC.
Ohio State is a great test case this year. They played a very difficult OOC. Too difficult really. They lost all of them but managed to beat Kentucky. That is a huge win. So big that despite all their losses, despite their 8-5 OOC record, they probably make the NCAAT if they go 10-8 in the B10. Now, if they played all cupcakes in the OOC and went 12-1, they probably would still need to 10-8, maybe 9-9. Point is those losses don't really hurt them and the trade-off of the UK win made it all worth it.