We all know UNC is also 6-1 and also undefeated in the ACC (3-0), and their one loss was 13-17 at South Carolina in the opening week of the season. What else?
Offense: UNC has a super dynamic QB in Marquise Williams. The basics: throws for 193 yards/game (67%, 9 TD, 7 int) and he runs a lot (68 yards/game, 7.0 yards/carry, 5 TD), and he's been very good at avoiding sacks. Their RB is also very good: Elijah Hood runs for 92 yards/game, 6.5 yards/carry, 8 TD. Both Williams and Hood were big-time recruits from North Carolina who stayed home over offers from Notre Dame and the like. They have a handful of receivers who all average around 50 yards/game, with Quinshad Davis having the most receptions (30, 328 yards) and Mack Hollins providing some of the biggest plays (only 14 receptions, but team-leading 21.9 yards/catch and 5 TD). They have many tall receivers, which could be an issue with our group of DB's. Recently their most consistent success is coming from the run game as their completion% and games with/without a passing TD are up and down. It is of note that 2 of their WR's are 1-for-1 passing this year, so they do that as well. Overall UNC is scoring lots of points, but against common opponents GT and Virginia, they scored 38 and 26 (Pitt scored 31 and 26).
Defense: They have very few sacks and TFL's, yet their pass defense is amazing (very low passing yards against, low completion % against, more interceptions than TD's against --- CB MJ Stewart has picked a pass in 3 different games). They have one of the better turnover margins in the country (only Miami and FSU have a better one in the ACC) and their two close wins came with a +2 and +3 TO margin during them (and they had a -3 margin in their only close loss), so UNC wins and loses to teams with equal-ish talent based on ball security. Thankfully Peterman is FAR more efficient than any of the 3 QB's UNC faced in those close games, so him remaining so and Ollison not having any more fumbles will be crucial. Speaking of Ollison, UNC's run defense is really bad. They give up 213 rushing yards/game (last in the ACC) at a rate of 4.6 yards/carry. UNC gave up only 255 rushing yards to GT, so no, that game didn't skew it like with Pitt.
Special Teams: Their K is accurate but he's never attempted a FG from 50+. Their punters both average only 37 yards/punt. PR/WR Ryan Switzer annihilated Illinois on punt returns (5 for 168, including an 85-yd TD), but has been average against everyone else. KR/RB TJ Logan averages a very good 24 yards/return on kickoffs (Pitt's return defense is top-25 in the country, surrendering 18.6 yards/return, but there have only been 14 returns). UNC's return defense is similarly good at 19.6 yards/return, but they've faced 22 returns.
Second Half Success: UNC has also done a very good job in second halves this year. They were down 0-21 with 2 minutes left in the first half at GT before surging ahead to 38-28 near the end of the game. They were tied 13-13 with Virginia at the half, outscoring them 13-0 after that. WF was hanging around with them halfway through the second quarter, down only 14-22, then UNC blanked them while scoring 4 more TD's (3 in the second half). Illinois was down only 7-13 halfway through the second quarter before UNC reeled off 5 straight TD's (4 in the second half) for a crushing victory.
Offense: UNC has a super dynamic QB in Marquise Williams. The basics: throws for 193 yards/game (67%, 9 TD, 7 int) and he runs a lot (68 yards/game, 7.0 yards/carry, 5 TD), and he's been very good at avoiding sacks. Their RB is also very good: Elijah Hood runs for 92 yards/game, 6.5 yards/carry, 8 TD. Both Williams and Hood were big-time recruits from North Carolina who stayed home over offers from Notre Dame and the like. They have a handful of receivers who all average around 50 yards/game, with Quinshad Davis having the most receptions (30, 328 yards) and Mack Hollins providing some of the biggest plays (only 14 receptions, but team-leading 21.9 yards/catch and 5 TD). They have many tall receivers, which could be an issue with our group of DB's. Recently their most consistent success is coming from the run game as their completion% and games with/without a passing TD are up and down. It is of note that 2 of their WR's are 1-for-1 passing this year, so they do that as well. Overall UNC is scoring lots of points, but against common opponents GT and Virginia, they scored 38 and 26 (Pitt scored 31 and 26).
Defense: They have very few sacks and TFL's, yet their pass defense is amazing (very low passing yards against, low completion % against, more interceptions than TD's against --- CB MJ Stewart has picked a pass in 3 different games). They have one of the better turnover margins in the country (only Miami and FSU have a better one in the ACC) and their two close wins came with a +2 and +3 TO margin during them (and they had a -3 margin in their only close loss), so UNC wins and loses to teams with equal-ish talent based on ball security. Thankfully Peterman is FAR more efficient than any of the 3 QB's UNC faced in those close games, so him remaining so and Ollison not having any more fumbles will be crucial. Speaking of Ollison, UNC's run defense is really bad. They give up 213 rushing yards/game (last in the ACC) at a rate of 4.6 yards/carry. UNC gave up only 255 rushing yards to GT, so no, that game didn't skew it like with Pitt.
Special Teams: Their K is accurate but he's never attempted a FG from 50+. Their punters both average only 37 yards/punt. PR/WR Ryan Switzer annihilated Illinois on punt returns (5 for 168, including an 85-yd TD), but has been average against everyone else. KR/RB TJ Logan averages a very good 24 yards/return on kickoffs (Pitt's return defense is top-25 in the country, surrendering 18.6 yards/return, but there have only been 14 returns). UNC's return defense is similarly good at 19.6 yards/return, but they've faced 22 returns.
Second Half Success: UNC has also done a very good job in second halves this year. They were down 0-21 with 2 minutes left in the first half at GT before surging ahead to 38-28 near the end of the game. They were tied 13-13 with Virginia at the half, outscoring them 13-0 after that. WF was hanging around with them halfway through the second quarter, down only 14-22, then UNC blanked them while scoring 4 more TD's (3 in the second half). Illinois was down only 7-13 halfway through the second quarter before UNC reeled off 5 straight TD's (4 in the second half) for a crushing victory.
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