Neither of the AAF nor the XFL has any chance of working. They will both be belly up within a few years time.
I will amend that by saying that they each have a small chance to carve out a small niche if they play their games in the spring and summer. Also, it would be best if they play their games in the small MLS stadia. However, even then, I really don’t give it much of a chance.
Expansion leagues rarely work and in the few examples that they have kinda/sorta worked, they worked because they were filling an obvious market niche.
For example, the AFL kind of worked because the NFL was too heavily involved in the Midwest and Northeast. So, the AFL put teams on the West Coast and they filled a niche there because the population had grown so much in the West over the previous few decades. They also put teams and cities that were big and growing and which had no way to get into the NFL.
I don’t really see how any of that applies to these ventures? I just see Vince McMahon trying to prove everyone wrong and he’s willing to throw good money after bad in the pursuit. As for the AAF, who knows what the hell they are doing?
Basically, these leagues are not intended to take on the NFL. That’s a complete pipe dream. They would be intended to fill the niche below the NFL. The problem with that, of course, is that niche is already filled by major college football.
So, you tell me, are the people in Alabama going to watch the Birmingham AAF team or Alabama or Auburn? Are the people in Arizona going to watch that AAF team or the Wildcats or the Sun Devils?
Both leagues are really dumb ideas and they’re not going to work. I’d love to be proven wrong because I love competition. However, these are really dumb investments by some people, IMHO.