Hot off the presses from Circa.
I had figured Pitt -2 or 2.5, so being more than 3 surprises me a little.
I had figured Pitt -2 or 2.5, so being more than 3 surprises me a little.
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Especially with the game being played in Atlanta.Hot off the presses from Circa.
I had figured Pitt -2 or 2.5, so being more than 3 surprises me a little.
We‘ll see where this ends up, I would think if you see any movement it would be on the Tech side.Especially with the game being played in Atlanta.
The wise guys think Pitt is the better team. Movement of the spread is decided by the betting public.We‘ll see where this ends up, I would think if you see any movement it would be on the Tech side.
Not going to go into it again, but that isn’t how it works at all. Except in smaller limited markets books don’t move the number off public money, that would get a bookmaker fired, and rightly so.The wise guys think Pitt is the better team. Movement of the spread is decided by the betting public.
Down to 3.5 relatively quickly.Hope it moves to -3 or less
OK. If you say so.Not going to go into it again, but that isn’t how it works at all. Except in smaller limited markets books don’t move the number off public money, that would get a bookmaker fired, and rightly so.
I’ve given the analogy before, but when Floyd Mayweather walks into a book and bets 750k on some random NBA game no one moves their number at all, nor should they if they have any clue what they are doing. He is a known donk, someone who hits 45-48% long term so by moving off him you are just giving line value away to sharper players that will play the other side. Move off your number too much and you will get middled enough to affect your bottom line. The ideal scenario on any game for a bookmaker is for the public to be heavy on one side and have the sharps be on the other side for a smaller amount of money. If you can do that enough it’s almost like printing money in the long run.OK. If you say so.
I'll take a 1 point win on the road no matter the opponent.Hot off the presses from Circa.
I had figured Pitt -2 or 2.5, so being more than 3 surprises me a little.
Ok, what you are saying is: entice the nitwits to load one side, and then have the "in the know crowd" bet the the other way? The "difference" is hugely profitable over time(number of contests)? Am I understanding this, Thanks.The ideal scenario on any game for a bookmaker is for the public to be heavy on one side and have the sharps be on the other side for a smaller amount of money.
Pickett is good for 41 on his own...Pitt -3
O/U - 57
On DraftKings
Ok, what you are saying is: entice the nitwits to load one side, and then have the "in the know crowd" bet the the other way? The "difference" is hugely profitable over time(number of contests)? Am I understanding this, Thanks.
I’ve given the analogy before, but when Floyd Mayweather walks into a book and bets 750k on some random NBA game no one moves their number at all, nor should they if they have any clue what they are doing. He is a known donk, someone who hits 45-48% long term so by moving off him you are just giving line value away to sharper players that will play the other side. Move off your number too much and you will get middled enough to affect your bottom line. The ideal scenario on any game for a bookmaker is for the public to be heavy on one side and have the sharps be on the other side for a smaller amount of money. If you can do that enough it’s almost like printing money in the long run.
The "getting middled" part is something the average gambler has no clue about.I’ve given the analogy before, but when Floyd Mayweather walks into a book and bets 750k on some random NBA game no one moves their number at all, nor should they if they have any clue what they are doing. He is a known donk, someone who hits 45-48% long term so by moving off him you are just giving line value away to sharper players that will play the other side. Move off your number too much and you will get middled enough to affect your bottom line. The ideal scenario on any game for a bookmaker is for the public to be heavy on one side and have the sharps be on the other side for a smaller amount of money. If you can do that enough it’s almost like printing money in the long run.
It's a good matchup for Pitt. Tech isn't a big passing team and if Simms starts he's a better runner than a thrower.I don’t like that Pitt as the favorite. They seem to really crap the bEd in these spots.
It opened at -3.Hot off the presses from Circa.
I had figured Pitt -2 or 2.5, so being more than 3 surprises me a little.
No sir, Circa opened at 4, was waiting for it on the app.It opened at -3.
I’ll give you a much more recent example. A longtime friend of mine who has worked at literally every major book in Vegas recently moved back home to Maryland and is working at the Will Hill book that just opened up inside the Capital One Arena in DC.The number of people who think that they understand the way that this works who get it exactly backwards is astounding.
Which, I guess, is why sports books don't go broke.
To be fair, Pitt has shit the bed in almost every spot known to man.I don’t like that Pitt as the favorite. They seem to really crap the bEd in these spots.
This is the most important post in the threadRunning QB’s scare me and have destroyed Pitt.
Disagree with this. QBs who can throw have destroyed Pitt.Running QB’s scare me and have destroyed Pitt.
You could say that about a lot of games. FWIW, Pitt is 3-1 against the spread.One would have to be a true moron to bet on this game. I mean, lets be serious, betting on any pitt game is idiotic, but this game, especially at -4, is absolutely unbettable.
We need to change our defense within game and be ready to do so. With a running QB or the RPO you should not have more the 3 down linemen.Running QB’s scare me and have destroyed Pitt.