High likelihood of our first undefeated OOC schedule since joining a conference. How far do we go before a bump in this season?
Pitt's First Loss
- Thread starter Dointhatrag
- Start date
My vote goes towards you being a clown for starting this thread.
Well there likely won't be much chatter this week playing YSU and we completed our biggest hurdles of the OOC so this is the right time. Most had predictions of 4-7 losses this season. Guessing predictions are going to change. Its a legitimate question on Pitt's next big hurdle
Pitt will be 4-0 after this weekend. They will remain undefeated going into October and likely ranked or close to it given the number of undefeated teams that will go head-to head over the next two weeks. Facing a 5-0 UNC seems like the perfect Pitt massacre loss, but maybe they catch luck with their starting QB injured. Cal beat Auburn and is not a gimmie. SMU will be better than Cincinnati. Cute isnt a pushover. I see a lot of coin flips. Win and believe. Get a little luck is half the battle. Pitt has the skill, but can’t afford injuries as they don’t have skill depth. Defense will improve. I expect much better D against UNC with three weeks time.
this thread does underscore how important that unc game is. Pitt is like 0-7 in chapel hill. If Pitt goes 5-0 with a win there, it’s time to get super pumped
Cal is better than i expected. i think i'd sign up for a split right now with them and the UNC game..
UNC, Cuse and Cal, man oh man i would lOVE to get 2 out of 3 of those games. We do that, we are sitting pretty.
UNC, Cuse and Cal, man oh man i would lOVE to get 2 out of 3 of those games. We do that, we are sitting pretty.
Really like our chances at UNC with them playing a back up QB. We have a week off to prepare for them as well.
I think we lose to UNC at UNC as our first loss. And I see 4 more losses before the end of the season for a 7-5 overall record. I'd love to see us beat Cal, SMU, SU, but it will be difficult beating all 3.
I must say, I can be a real A-Hole all things Pitt
But even I would never start a thread like this.
But even I would never start a thread like this.
Perhaps the correct answer is....."its a trick question"?
We have some gutsy recievers, and Holstein can really sling it.
I am willing to bet that if this question were asked of fans of every team left on our schedule the majority would think Pitt is gonna be a tough out.......
We have some gutsy recievers, and Holstein can really sling it.
I am willing to bet that if this question were asked of fans of every team left on our schedule the majority would think Pitt is gonna be a tough out.......
Have to go with at UNC. We have never won in Chapel Hill. Narduzzi keeps breaking these streaks so its hard to see this one being broken too.
SMU stinks and lacks a qb. The cuse is at home. Holstein will be a real advantage in both of those games.
I'm not sure we will win a game in October. UNC, Cal, and Cuse...all tough teams.
I honestly dont think this was a troll or jerk thread. I think Pitts biggest challenge before they play Clemson appears to be the Cuse and thats a home game.
Barring injuries, with this team being so young theres a chance they continue to improve as the season progresses especially on offense.
Barring injuries, with this team being so young theres a chance they continue to improve as the season progresses especially on offense.
Agree on good chance they continue to improve. But, I also believe they can improve a lot defensively, as well, not just mainly on offense.
Almost every game the rest of the way is a 50-50 toss up.
Pick any of the above and you’d have a good chance of being right.
Pick any of the above and you’d have a good chance of being right.
I'm not sure Clemson and Louisville are 50/50 games. I have them down as losses.
I think that’s probably right.
And based on how they have played so far, I would actually put SMU down as a W. Although in pencil, not pen.
Louisville is tough to get a read on. Haven't really played anyone yet. I think they have been recruiting pretty well and Brohm is a decent coach. That will be another close one.
As I've posted before, we can't out talent anyone on the schedule. I'll resort to cliches and say we need to play sound football, be injury free and keep turnovers to a minimum for a chance to win these games.
I heard an interesting stat the other day:
According to PFF, through 3 games, Holstein has thrown 8 INT worthy passes. Which is a lot in 3 games. Only two have been picked off. And INT worthy passes aren’t even passes that are tipped at the line or bounce off a receivers hands. So it doesn’t even factor in those passes that are INT susceptible, but not the QBs fault.
That’s far below the INT worthy to actual INT ratio. For context Ward has thrown 1 thru 3 games, and it was picked. So it’s luck.
With the margins in games looking like it’s going to be razor thin, a lot of the rest of the way will come down to:
Holstein not being so loose with the ball. Or no INT regression happening if those kind of passes continue.
It’s difficult to say when the first loss will happen when there’s no way to predict the latter if that’s going to be the case.
According to PFF, through 3 games, Holstein has thrown 8 INT worthy passes. Which is a lot in 3 games. Only two have been picked off. And INT worthy passes aren’t even passes that are tipped at the line or bounce off a receivers hands. So it doesn’t even factor in those passes that are INT susceptible, but not the QBs fault.
That’s far below the INT worthy to actual INT ratio. For context Ward has thrown 1 thru 3 games, and it was picked. So it’s luck.
With the margins in games looking like it’s going to be razor thin, a lot of the rest of the way will come down to:
Holstein not being so loose with the ball. Or no INT regression happening if those kind of passes continue.
It’s difficult to say when the first loss will happen when there’s no way to predict the latter if that’s going to be the case.
A. 4-0 +( 8x 50/50 games = 4 Wins) = 8-4
B. 4-2 + (6 x 50/50 games) = 3 wins= 7-5
Either way a good rebound and the work begins to keep the group together for 2025?
Right up there with a poll listing which of your friends will be the first your new bride will bang..
Looking in from the other side, I don’t think any of our upcoming opponents thinks that Pitt is an “easy” “W”.
Might put it pencil on their wish list.
We might lose a few, but there is a lot of fight in this team.
Might put it pencil on their wish list.
We might lose a few, but there is a lot of fight in this team.
I’m not sure outside of a couple of maybe Clemson and Lville, any of the upcoming opponents see themselves as good enough to look down on any team on their schedule as an easy W.
It’s all a bunch of mostly interchangeable teams, playing interchangeable teams.
Any of you want to change your game 5 prediction after todays outcomes?
Some of these comments are nutz.
We have Eli Holstein and a real offense. As long as he stays healthy, they're gonna win a bunch.
Coming into today he was neck and neck with 2021 Kenny through 3 games in yards passing, rushing and td throws.
We have Eli Holstein and a real offense. As long as he stays healthy, they're gonna win a bunch.
Coming into today he was neck and neck with 2021 Kenny through 3 games in yards passing, rushing and td throws.
We may very well be small favorites in all three of those games, and yet going 2-1 makes Narduzzi a miracle worker?
The more football that gets played the squishier our schedule looks.
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