This season with Artis and jeter splitting 3/4 minutes?
Jones will be starting shooting guard.What makes you think that? Some inside info????
Otherwise, I would guess that Mike Young will start at C and Jamel Artis will start at PF. Then, the time when Jamel is not in the game, MY would play PF. This leaves considerable time for Rafael Maia at C off the bench.
Where this leaves Nix and Luther... I don't know. If Nix can play then it would be good to get him into every game to wear the opposition down a bit at C.
Also... Artis is not known for his D and MY is not great, but Dixon says that Ryan Luther is his best post defender (as long as he is not asked to cover a C like Okafor or Chtistmas). So, in close games down the stretch where we have a lead... might be better to have Luther in there at PF for D... or go Luther for D and Artis for O.
In any case Dixon tried Artis at SF last year and it did not work out.... he was pretty much invisible out there. Then Dixon moved him back to what Dixon called 'his natural position'... PF... and it was not long after that when Artis took off with his scoring... averaging around 20 PPG for a considerable stretch. So, I don't see Dixon trying to play Artis at SF again.
At SF...I think the time there would be between Jeter, Jones and Slim... with Jeter starting... just like last year.
Ododa just committed.What makes you think that? Some inside info????
Otherwise, I would guess that Mike Young will start at C and Jamel Artis will start at PF. Then, the time when Jamel is not in the game, MY would play PF. This leaves considerable time for Rafael Maia at C off the bench.
Where this leaves Nix and Luther... I don't know. If Nix can play then it would be good to get him into every game to wear the opposition down a bit at C.
Also... Artis is not known for his D and MY is not great, but Dixon says that Ryan Luther is his best post defender (as long as he is not asked to cover a C like Okafor or Chtistmas). So, in close games down the stretch where we have a lead... might be better to have Luther in there at PF for D... or go Luther for D and Artis for O.
In any case Dixon tried Artis at SF last year and it did not work out.... he was pretty much invisible out there. Then Dixon moved him back to what Dixon called 'his natural position'... PF... and it was not long after that when Artis took off with his scoring... averaging around 20 PPG for a considerable stretch. So, I don't see Dixon trying to play Artis at SF again.
At SF...I think the time there would be between Jeter, Jones and Slim... with Jeter starting... just like last year.
I have been against the thought of Nix red shirting, but now I would not be as against it. Having a year of practice under his belt, and as our starter the year after is a good option with Manigault off the bench. Either way though, I don't care, but seems we went from having no centers to having lots of decent options.
Jones will be starting shooting guard.
From everything I've come to understand, it's not safe to assume anything. Maybe there are few things that are set. Maybe James at the point, but that’s about it.
Who can defend is the criteria that will matter.
But starting with the five isn't the right place.
I believe the starting point is Jamel Artis.
I don't believe the staff sees Jamel as a "three" or a "four." They see him as a good offensive player. But they also recognize that he had significant challenges as a defensive player.
Just like we all saw, I'm sure they saw how much trouble he had guarding dribble penetration when playing on the perimeter. All the same, he had a heck of a time with switches on the perimeter.
When Jamel played the four, these problems were not as apparent.
However, playing Mike at the five and Jamel at the four easily became clear as the best option when it was equally clear that Joe just couldn't perform physically and Derrick never really captured what he needed to do with switching, etc. With this lineup, we could at least score.
I've heard good things about our transfer from Brown. I've heard he can play and rebound well, and is a certain upgrade from Randall, Joe and Aaron.
But it won't matter if we have Dekembe Mutombo playing the five and protecting the rim if we can't find a way to guard dribble penetration. Even rim protectors can’t do anything when they have to step up to guard a dribbler, who can dump to the man the rim protector left, or pass to the perimeter for a three.
This is why we need to go back to Jamel. Jamel should play the three. But if he can't guard the perimeter, this will continue to hamper this team.
If Jamel can play adequate defense at the three, playing Mike at the four and Nix and Maia at the five, that’s a good thing. We'll rebound better, and that will matter. But we’ll see how this shakes out.
I also understand it’s not anything close to certain to pencil in Smith as a starter at the two. This spot will also depend on who defends.
The staff really likes Chris Jones. They want him to play at the two, but things haven’t worked out that way for him thus far. They also think he can defend the perimeter fairly well. Time will only tell who can defend better between Smith and Jones. And it will only be a battle between Smith and Jones if Jamel can become a mainstay at the three.
All of this doesn’t even mention Sheldon Jeter. When he was on offensively, we were a strong team, even if we still couldn’t defend. My understanding is that Sheldon plays better offense at the three, but he was not strong defensively anywhere.
Make no mistake, 80% of our problems were on defense last year. We were a bad defensive team. Who plays where will depend much more about how we can improve defensively. And with that, I’ll say again it’s not safe to assume anything.
Yeah, I think even JD does not know how this is going to work at this point. But, adding three older, experienced players at positions of need who have been solid players at a little lower level adds some much needed options that he didn't have a month ago. It also is important to factor in MY, Artis and to a lesser extent Jones moving into their junior seasons, a time when they could take a real step up in terms of maturity and consistency.
You certainly could see MY at the four/Artis as the three now. We all agree Artis was bad defensively at the three last year, but again, IF he really works on it this off season, you could see him being possibly OK defensively, especially if you had more viable defensive centers.
I will say, they may like Jones, but just hard to see him being a full time or good ACC 2G given his modest quickness/athleticism, especially if they are worried about defense.
Either way, Jamie Dixon DESPERATELY needs to have some good news ON THE COURT next year, and bringing these three in, along with ideally a junior year bump for MY and Artis gives him a shot at putting a top 5 ACC team together.
Final thought, JRob needs to step his game up significantly in his last go around to make it all work.
Hmmmmm.... Alonzo Nelson-Ododa is a combo C/F at 6'9" and 235 is bigger than Artis and Luther but not bigger than Young and Maia.
He came off the bench this past year for Richmond and will almost surely for the same for us.
Was voted to the pre-season A10 all defensive team so that was probably the selling point from Dixon... we need more D!
Yeah, Dixon has a lot of options now inside.... Young, Artis, Maia, Nix, Luther and now ANO. We will see how he handles it but it is hard not to see MY starting at C or Artis not starting at PF.
From everything I've come to understand, it's not safe to assume anything. Maybe there are few things that are set. Maybe James at the point, but that’s about it.
Who can defend is the criteria that will matter.
But starting with the five isn't the right place.
I believe the starting point is Jamel Artis.
I don't believe the staff sees Jamel as a "three" or a "four." They see him as a good offensive player. But they also recognize that he had significant challenges as a defensive player.
Just like we all saw, I'm sure they saw how much trouble he had guarding dribble penetration when playing on the perimeter. All the same, he had a heck of a time with switches on the perimeter.
When Jamel played the four, these problems were not as apparent.
However, playing Mike at the five and Jamel at the four easily became clear as the best option when it was equally clear that Joe just couldn't perform physically and Derrick never really captured what he needed to do with switching, etc. With this lineup, we could at least score.
I've heard good things about our transfer from Brown. I've heard he can play and rebound well, and is a certain upgrade from Randall, Joe and Aaron.
But it won't matter if we have Dekembe Mutombo playing the five and protecting the rim if we can't find a way to guard dribble penetration. Even rim protectors can’t do anything when they have to step up to guard a dribbler, who can dump to the man the rim protector left, or pass to the perimeter for a three.
This is why we need to go back to Jamel. Jamel should play the three. But if he can't guard the perimeter, this will continue to hamper this team.
If Jamel can play adequate defense at the three, playing Mike at the four and Nix and Maia at the five, that’s a good thing. We'll rebound better, and that will matter. But we’ll see how this shakes out.
I also understand it’s not anything close to certain to pencil in Smith as a starter at the two. This spot will also depend on who defends.
The staff really likes Chris Jones. They want him to play at the two, but things haven’t worked out that way for him thus far. They also think he can defend the perimeter fairly well. Time will only tell who can defend better between Smith and Jones. And it will only be a battle between Smith and Jones if Jamel can become a mainstay at the three.
All of this doesn’t even mention Sheldon Jeter. When he was on offensively, we were a strong team, even if we still couldn’t defend. My understanding is that Sheldon plays better offense at the three, but he was not strong defensively anywhere.
Make no mistake, 80% of our problems were on defense last year. We were a bad defensive team. Who plays where will depend much more about how we can improve defensively. And with that, I’ll say again it’s not safe to assume anything.
I think we go big and experienced.
10/11 players share minutes
Young 30 - Nix 10
Odoba 20 - Maia 20
Artis 30 - Jeter 10
Jones 20 - Smith 20
Robinson 30 - Newkirk/Wilson 10
Luther redshirts
C.Johnson - Situational player
Would really have liked to add a guard with a handle. (An injury to Robinson could really bite us)
I think this lets you red shirt Nix. No reason not to really. I think James, Artis, and Young see 30 mins or so a game. Other than that Im sure Newkirk will get 15 or so. Jones sees about 20, Jeter 15-20. Odaba prob gets about 20+/- Maia about 10( I think Young still sees about 10 mins at C) I don't think Smith gets as many minutes as people may think. It really depends on if Wilson gets here and how good he is(or how well Newkirk plays this year). I think he could be a darkhorse guy to see 15 mins at the 2.
This season with Artis and jeter splitting 3/4 minutes?
SMF (and many others): right again
DT---- You stated-
" But, t won't matter if we have Dekembe Mutombo playing the five and protecting the rim if we can't find a way to guard dribble penetration. Even rim protectors can’t do anything when they have to step up to guard a dribbler, who can dump to the man the rim protector left, or pass to the perimeter for a three."
I think you may be failing to fully appreciate the synergy between perimeter defense (minimizing dribble penetration and defending the 3-ball) and post defense. Perimeter defenders play more effective defense on the perimeter when there is a good post defender for a variety of reasons. They are able to be less risk adverse and consequently can play tighter and closer when they have a good post defender inside. There is also the corollary that the opponent's perimeter offensive player becomes somewhat/slightly more reluctant or, at least, a bit more hesitant about initiating attempts at dribble penetration. Also, a good post defender makes it more difficult for your opponent to execute the inside-outside game which creates the most open (or weakly guarded) 3-ball opportunities. This makes it easier on the perimeter defenders to guard 3-ballshooters because these shooters get fewer good opportunities as the perimeter defense sags less because the ball gets inside less often. This makes the perimeter defenders more effective guarding the 3-ball as well.
So, IMHO, the real question is not so much whether Artis and others do better individual jobs defending the perimeter as it is whether one of, or some combo of, Ododa, Maia and Nix will provide good enough post defense (better than last season) to allow post-perimeter defensive synergy to be sufficiently effective to make next year's team better defensively overall.
I don't feel confident at all with Robinson/ Newkirk and Jones/Smith closing out in the 3 and stopping penetration.
Great to have big post guys who can play good post D. Truth is most teams are guard driven and don't run post sets anymore.
A shot blocker puts team defense in a lot of trouble every time he streps up to cover for a guard who got best off the dribble because he he's himself out of rebounding position and can't challenge a shot off a dump pass.
I agree with DT about it not mattering if you have Mutumbo if you can't keep the other guards out of the lane.
Plus if Slim isn't healthy, we are really relying on one guard who had never played for Pitt yet to stretch the other D with range.
I will say this one more time. NCAA is about quick and athletic guards who can drive, stop the drive, and shoot. If they can't do all 3, they are a liability.
This team will be above average with Artis and Young. To be better, it's not about the new additions, it's about the guard play.
It all depends on how good you want or expect this team to be in 2015-16. The potential is there to be similar to Virginia; but not to be final four good. I don't want or expect more in 2015-2016 because that would be unrealistic given the roster makeup.
On the other hand, the belief that our guards are terrible defenders is, IMHO, a miss-perception. Are they great defenders? No. But they would have been and will be adequate to good if there is a post defender who can do two things pretty well (we didn't have either last year):
1. This is the most important of the two. Ability to deny receipt of the entry pass into the opponent's post scorer. This kills the opponent's inside-outside game which greatly reduces the opponent's ability to have his perimeter shooters get open looks to effectively score the 3-ball. A post defender who can do this is going to makes perimeter defenders look a lot better.
2. Ability to block shots in the paint. This discourages dribble penetration and also allows your guards to play their opposite number much tighter. This also makes your guards look better.
If we can get this kind of result from our post defenders in 2015-2016 we will all be amazed at how much better our guards got at defending compared to last year. If not, it will be more of the same and our guards will take more of a beating from the fans as to how bad they are as defenders than they really deserve because it wasn't and isn't entirely on them to begin with although it certainly will have that appearance.
Well he is better at the 5...Nope. I've been told Mike Young is excellent at the 5. Despite nearly everybody who watched a Pitt game opined that Young was playing out of position and it adversely affected our team, the usual 5-6 posters held firm that Young was unquestionably the answer at Center.
SMF (and many others): right again
While a shot blocking center doesn't solve the defensive problems for this team, hopefully it will help hide them some. You mention that things seem to depend on Artis. While he was a real good offensive player, he was a pretty significant liability on defense. I thought Mike Young was a pretty decent defensive player (in fact, the only one). The only thing that gives me hope, is that the defense was so bad, it has to improve. Right?
No question that inability to stop dribble penetration was a big problem defensively for us last year but it wasn't the only problem defensively ..... our help defense rotation was very poor. When the opponents guard dribble penetrated and our rim protector/usually center came up to help that should not have been the end of the help defense/ rotation as others needed to rotate over to guard the man the rim protector left, etc. and Artis/Jeter were clueless in that regard..... help defense is all about positioning and getting to the proper position as quickly as possible .... it takes knowing where to be and anticipating to get there quickly ..... for some reason Artis and Jeter could not do it very well ..... if they would have rotated in help defense properly, the options of the dribble penetrator become fewer......... I thought our hedge defense was not very good either and we had to try and make adjustments there also throughout the year.I don't know if is miss-perception (or not) that our guards are terrible defenders.
I do know that it was absolutely positively the case that our guards did a terrible job guarding dribble penetration last year.
I think JD was more desperate than shrewd in aggressively going after the grad transfers. We had some gaping roster deficiencies that were not addressed at all in the last couple of HS recruiting seasons. These are all band-aids, there is no question about that. It will be interesting to see how it all fits together, and how it all works with the most underrated variable of them all-chemistry.Good points DT. Defense is still the big problem and improving defensively is the key for any real success. What Jamie has done with the 3 grad transfers is reload the roster immediately. He now has enough pieces that he can mix and match , and perhaps most importantly, use playing time as a carrot/stick incentive to force his team to either play defense or sit.
Last year, he explicitly stated he had to play zone because he didn't have enough players to play M2M with the necessary intensity for the full game. Now he does.
We now at least theoretically go two deep at every position. Last year we basically only had 8 guys who could play.
Yeah, we'd all be happier with some more quickness in the backcourt but at least there are bodies and decent length at SG. Newkirk and Wilson's status make the back-up PG still a bit iffy but there are now options everywhere else and the competition for playing time should be very interesting.
I agree with Jeffburgh that building a roster with 5th year transfers is far from ideal, especially for a program that has been based on player development, but given the situation, Dixon was shrewd in taking advantage of the rule. He restocked a failed post position with a solid rebounder in Maia and the A-10 Defensive POY, plus a huge project in Nix. If Nix shows enough in Summer practices, he could be redshirted to help with class balance and add depth after this rising junior class leaves.
Sterling Smith adds outside shooting and at least had a decent number of steals.
And, none of the 3 ties up scholarships after this season. Restocking the roster with guys who can help in future years is critical. Manigault is a great start but a PG is badly needed as is a long term answer at 2/3. Or even two wings.
I suspect that some things ARE still a given. As long as Jamel Artis scores at a pace near 20 ppg, he's going to get a lot of minutes, somewhere. Mike Young is going to get his 25-30 minutes. Many of them may still be at 5, depending upon matchups. JRob is going to be the main ball-handler.
But, other than those, there are a lot of options and guys are going to have to earn their minutes. We shouldn't see an over matched team that hits a wall at the end of games and the season. We might not have the star power of the top teams in the ACC, but we do have the two rising junior star forwards and a lot of interesting pieces to mix and match around them.
It may also be interesting to see how the new 30-second shot clock affects our defense. I suspect it might have the opposite effect than what the NCAA intends. It may help defensive teams more than offensive teams, because they only have to play defense 5 seconds shorter.