teamrankings.com updated projections for Pitt

[UPitt '89]

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/pittsburgh-panthers

Projected regular season record:
21.1 wins, 8.9 losses overall
10.1 wins, 7.9 losses in conference

Projected remaining wins:
2/16 - Home - Wake Forest (88.3%)
1/31 - Home - Virginia Tech (87.1%)
3/02 - Away - Virginia Tech (64.5%)
2/06 - Home - Virginia (51.3%)

Projected remaining losses:
2/14 - Away - North Carolina (17.0%)
2/09 - Away - Miami (21.8%)
2/24 - Home - Louisville (39.9%)
2/28 - Home - Duke (44.8%)
2/20 - Away - Syracuse (45.6%)
3/05 - Away - Georgia Tech (47.4%)

Chance to make NCAA Tournament: 64.6%
Most likely NCAA Tournament seed: #8
Chance to make NCAA Sweet 16: 16.3%
Chance to make NCAA Final Four: 2.9%

Chance to win ACC Tournament: 3.5%
Projected seed in ACC Tournament: #7

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Obviously, need to win one of the games in the "Projected loss" list.

 

[Chairman Moe]

Projected remaining wins:
2/16 - Home - Wake Forest (88.3%)
1/31 - Home - Virginia Tech (87.1%)
3/02 - Away - Virginia Tech (64.5%)
2/06 - Home - Virginia (51.3%)

Projected remaining losses:
2/14 - Away - North Carolina (17.0%)
2/09 - Away - Miami (21.8%)
2/24 - Home - Louisville (39.9%)
2/28 - Home - Duke (44.8%)
2/20 - Away - Syracuse (45.6%)
3/05 - Away - Georgia Tech (47.4%)

Regarding the projected wins, I see the "Virginias" as being our potential "Waterloo". I am less confident of us beating VT twice than what they are projecting. "Curly" (aka Coach Buzz Williams) seems to have our number. The VA game at home is also a coin toss. The intimidation factor of playing us at the Pete is not very strong, and VA has won in our building, albeit with a "better" team.

Regarding the projected losses, I think the three that are winnable are the Duke, Syracuse and GA Tech games. Duke may be one of those games that we "steal"; hope we can catch them (and Coach K) on an off night. 5 wins and 5 losses for a 10 win 8 loss ACCC game record, and 21-9 overall record. Thinking we will need at least 1 win in the ACCT to keep us off the bubble. We may be fighting Clemson and ND for the last NCAA bid from our conference. I know there are no "limits" to the number of teams allowed per conference, but we can't afford to lose another home game to an un-ranked member of our conference if we want to go dancing in March