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Trump and the Polls

What Republican candidate DOES have a chance? Each Republican candidate is against women's health, immigration reform, and wants to put boots on the ground in the middle east. Their policies are not very easy to overcome in a general election.

I think there are Republicans that CAN win (certainly not Trump) though I, personally think Hillary is the next President. I dont claim to be a political expert but if I'm a Republican, my strategy is to not ruffle any feathers of the poor in hopes they dont care enough to come out to vote against me. Just sit tight, dont say anything stupid, hope the poor dont vote, and hope to win a good number of middle class votes which is possible. Trump, however, is pretty much the opposite of this as everybody and their brother will register to vote against him.
 
You could not even provide the year of your poll 24 hours ago.

I am still waiting on any evidence that union members oppose amnesty.

Almost 24 hours later and DoP still hasn't answered the simplest of questions.

I guess I called that one.
 
You could not even provide the year of your poll 24 hours ago.

I am still waiting on any evidence that union members oppose amnesty.
The evidence is there. You can't answer the question so you divert. In other words, you do what you always do when questioned.
 
You're right. I can't answer fiction. Post some evidence other than a poll that involved 1000 likely voters.
Your whole world is fiction. But my claim is not. Here are a couple more sources:

MIC
American Thinker
Or you can choose to pay Rasmussen

You can't answer it all, just like all the other questions I've asked you the last couple of days.

You like to toss questions and insults out, but you can't think through a simple answer.
 
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I do not make informed opinions without reading the substance of the issue. You obviously do.

Rasmussen, proven as biased towards Republican outcomes, has little credibility. Add the fact that they require you to pay to see the questions they ask to get their results? I have little faith that one poll by a shill for the Conservative party is representative of anything in reality.

Union members should not be concerned with amnesty because unskilled rapist criminals will be out raping the white women, not coming fer der jobs. If you are a union member and concerned with amnesty, it is likely you are a regular listener of Rush and Hannity - BTW, a 51% majority is a joke considering the biased source.

Your whole world is fiction. But my claim is not. Here are a couple more sources:

MIC
American Thinker
Or you can choose to pay Rasmussen

You can't answer it all, just like all the other questions I've asked you the last couple of days.

You like to toss questions and insults out, but you can't think through a simple answer.
 
I do not make informed opinions without reading the substance of the issue. You obviously do.

Rasmussen, proven as biased towards Republican outcomes, has little credibility. Add the fact that they require you to pay to see the questions they ask to get their results? I have little faith that one poll by a shill for the Conservative party is representative of anything in reality.

Union members should not be concerned with amnesty because unskilled rapist criminals will be out raping the white women, not coming fer der jobs. If you are a union member and concerned with amnesty, it is likely you are a regular listener of Rush and Hannity - BTW, a 51% majority is a joke considering the biased source.
"Proven"? You'll have to show me proof of that. You can't and won't, just like all the other questions I ask you.
 
Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.

Rasmussen also weights their surveys based on preordained assumptions about the party identification of voters in each state, a relatively unusual practice that many polling firms consider dubious since party identification (unlike characteristics like age and gender) is often quite fluid.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/?_r=0

"Proven"? You'll have to show me proof of that. You can't and won't, just like all the other questions I ask you.
 
Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.

Rasmussen also weights their surveys based on preordained assumptions about the party identification of voters in each state, a relatively unusual practice that many polling firms consider dubious since party identification (unlike characteristics like age and gender) is often quite fluid.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/?_r=0
That's proof to you?

I'm not surprised.
 
Using an unaccepted polling methodology to get a result of 55 for Republicans and only 12 for Democrats, and owned by a conservative? That's all the info I need... because I live in reality AND understand statistics.

That's proof to you?

I'm not surprised.
 
Using an unaccepted polling methodology to get a result of 55 for Republicans and only 12 for Democrats, and owned by a conservative? That's all the info I need... because I live in reality AND understand statistics.
We can argue about Rasmussen all day but it doesn't matter to the point.

Even if the poll is biased by 3 points, that means 48% of union members don't support amnesty.

You still won't address the real question.
 
If 48% are against amnesty and 50% are for, what is your question again? The results of the poll are completely material, or do you not understand majorities?

The fact that it is as close as it is in spite of the biased polling tells me all I need to know. Conservative Union members are the same sheep as the other 99% of conservatives.

We can argue about Rasmussen all day but it doesn't matter to the point.

Even if the poll is biased by 3 points, that means 48% of union members don't support amnesty.

You still won't address the real question.
 
If 48% are against amnesty and 50% are for, what is your question again? The results of the poll are completely material, or do you not understand majorities?
Do you not understand sampling errors?

Seriously, are you now nit-picking between 48 and 51% in poll to avoid answering the question?

I'll simplify it. Why do nearly a majority or a majority of union workers oppose amnesty while their leaders support it?

You won't answer - just like you didn't answer what unique non-abortion services are provide by PP.
 
The leaders speak for the majority... or do you expect them to speak for every individual? They'd need a lot of leaders.

Do you not understand sampling errors?

Seriously, are you now nit-picking between 48 and 51% in poll to avoid answering the question?

I'll simplify it. Why do nearly a majority or a majority of union workers oppose amnesty while their leaders support it?

You won't answer - just like you didn't answer what unique non-abortion services are provide by PP.
 
The leaders speak for the majority... or do you expect them to speak for every individual? They'd need a lot of leaders.
They do? Did they poll their membership?

Do the Federal govt "leaders" speak for the majority too?

Silly premise.
 
Trump may be leading in the polls, but I'd like to see a poll asking Republican voters who their second or third choice would be. Of the 80 % or so republicans who favor someone other than Trump, I doubt that very many would have Trump as their second or third choice. He may be getting about 20% of the vote with 17 candidates in the race, but when the number of candidates get whittled down to two or three I doubt that he gets much more than the 20% he already has.
 
Do you not understand sampling errors?

Seriously, are you now nit-picking between 48 and 51% in poll to avoid answering the question?

I'll simplify it. Why do nearly a majority or a majority of union workers oppose amnesty while their leaders support it?

You won't answer - just like you didn't answer what unique non-abortion services are provide by PP.
because union leadership has been in bed with management for the past 30 years at least.
And joe punch-card doesn't understand his job is always at jeopardy in a global market...so they get angry at "foreigners" instead of preparing to lose their jobs..which they will eventually.
 
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