Tua was as high as a 20-1 favorite a month ago and just about every book in Vegas took it off the board.
It has totally swung the other way and I’ve seen Murray favored around -170 offshore.
Obviously Tua missed all those 4th quarters which hurt his stats, but it also needs to be mentioned that he generally played against better defenses than Murray did.
Another factor going against Tua is that historically many voters have turned their ballots in early, but supposedly this year only 11% had submitted their ballots before last week.
Being that most of these voters are pretty clueless and only go by the last thing they saw I see Murray winning it in the end.