Updated NET Rankings...

[Blair_45]

Looks like Pitt and Georgia Tech swapped places as Pitt jumps 5 spots from 83 to 78 after their win yesterday. Virginia Tech who Pitt plays at next Saturday and was a bubble team for awhile is actually below Pitt now at 79 NET after their loss to Boston College at home yesterday.

Clemson plays Notre Dame tonight before they play here on Wednesday night so if Clemson wins that game and Pitt can beat Clemson and then Virginia Tech next week on the road I could see their NET jumping up possibly 10 spots to around 65-70 before heading on the road to play Florida State next week.

So the bottom line is still a lot of winnable games left on the schedule and a lot of wins that can help Pitt’s NET and bump them into bubble position within the next 2 weeks. So we’ll see how it all plays out.

 

[Elsalvador]

Enough winnable games, plus some games Pitt probably won't win. Just how it'll shake out. We'll see how they do over these last 7 games, plus the ACCT. Looks to be entertaining and stressful haha.

 

[Sean Miller Fan]

Looks like Pitt and Georgia Tech swapped places as Pitt jumps 5 spots from 83 to 78 after their win yesterday. Virginia Tech who Pitt plays at next Saturday and was a bubble team for awhile is actually below Pitt now at 79 NET after their loss to Boston College at home yesterday.

Clemson plays Notre Dame tonight before they play here on Wednesday night so if Clemson wins that game and Pitt can beat Clemson and then Virginia Tech next week on the road I could see their NET jumping up possibly 10 spots to around 65-70 before heading on the road to play Florida State next week.

So the bottom line is still a lot of winnable games left on the schedule and a lot of wins that can help Pitt’s NET and bump them into bubble position within the next 2 weeks. So we’ll see how it all plays out.

If we were to win the next 2 and then at FSU, we would probably be on the fringes of The Bubble. However, the chances of doing this is probably 2%-3%

 

[HailToPitt1985]

Nothing's changed. We still have to win all of our remaining home games, then steal a win on the road somewhere. A win against FSU is probably not happening. But maybe VT. It's just so tough to win on the road.

This team and program has made substantial progress after the Barnes/Stallings debacle. We're definitely better than last year by a good bit. I'm hoping for possibly an NIT bid this year, but more realistically that will probably happen next year. We need at least 4 more wins in the regular season to get to the NIT, not including the ACCT.

 

[DC_Area_Panther]

Made a jump in the Sagarin Ratings as well with yesterday's win. Sagarin's rating now projects the next 7 as follows:

W----Clemson------->Pitt by ~4.5 pts.
T-----@ VA Tech---->Tossup (Pitt edge by 0.08 pts)
L-----@FSU---------->FSU by ~11 pts.
L------Virginia--------->Virginia by ~ 1/2 point (by 0.6 pts)
W-----Syracuse------->Pitt by ~1 pt.
L------@NC State---->NC State by ~4.5 pts.
L------@GA Tech----->GA Tech by ~2 pts.

The ESPN predictions are similar--they predict 2 more wins and an 80% chance of a third win. ESPN also has Pitt favored vs Clemson and Syracuse and a very slight underdog to Virginia.

In reality, any of these games, except probably @FSU, could possibly go either way. Two or three more wins appears to be the most likely outcome. However, ESPN doesn't like our chances @ VA Tech (only 34.8% chance for Pitt win) so they differ from Sagarin in that regard.

Even one more win would likely guarantee a non-losing season with the worst case outcome being 16-16 (7-13 ACC + 0-1 ACCT).

 

[Saboteur]

If we were to win the next 2 and then at FSU, we would probably be on the fringes of The Bubble. However, the chances of doing this is probably 2%-3%

Did you actually post a range of BETWEEN 2% and 3%?

 

[HailToPitt1985]

Made a jump in the Sagarin Ratings as well with yesterday's win. Sagarin's rating now projects the next 7 as follows:

W----Clemson------->Pitt by ~4.5 pts.
T-----@ VA Tech---->Tossup (Pitt edge by 0.08 pts)
L-----@FSU---------->FSU by ~11 pts.
L------Virginia--------->Virginia by ~ 1/2 point (by 0.6 pts)
W-----Syracuse------->Pitt by ~1 pt.
L------@NC State---->NC State by ~4.5 pts.
L------@GA Tech----->GA Tech by ~2 pts.

The ESPN predictions are similar--they predict 2 more wins and an 80% chance of a third win. ESPN also has Pitt favored vs Clemson and Syracuse and a very slight underdog to Virginia.

In reality, any of these games, except probably @FSU, could possibly go either way. Two or three more wins appears to be the most likely outcome. However, they don't like our chances @ VA Tech (only 34.8% chance for Pitt win).

Even one more win would likely guarantee a non-losing season with the worst case outcome being 16-16 (7-13 ACC + 0-1 ACCT).

Winning on the road for anyone, except maybe the elite teams, is very difficult. I could see Pitt winning 1 more game this year, or winning maybe 3 more games, which I'd hope is the best possibility. This doesn't include the ACCT. We need to beat Clemson first, then get 2 more wins against teams in the final 6 games. VT and SU are the most likely wins for us in that group.

 

[Blair_45]

Pitt should win the game against Clemson at home on Wednesday. Clemson is 1-6 on the road and much like Pitt is a much better home team then road team. Pitt has now won 4 in a row at home and they are starting to make coming into the Pete feel like it did back in the Howland Dixon days where it’s gonna be a tough place to win and no game is a guaranteed win. But again I do think the next 2 games are winnable and it will be interesting to see where Pitt is ranked from a NET point of view if they beat Clemson and win at Virginia Tech next Saturday.

 

[Blair_45]

Winning on the road for anyone, except maybe the elite teams, is very difficult. I could see Pitt winning 1 more game this year, or winning maybe 3 more games, which I'd hope is the best possibility. This doesn't include the ACCT. We need to beat Clemson first, then get 2 more wins against teams in the final 6 games. VT and SU are the most likely wins for us in that group.

I could see them winning their remaining home games with Clemson, Virginia and Syracuse and splitting the 4 road games at VT FSU NC State and Georgia Tech to finish 5-2. It will be a tall order but it’s not impossible to suggest it can and will happen.

 

[PittMBA]

HailToPitt1985 said:

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Winning on the road for anyone, except maybe the elite teams, is very difficult. I could see Pitt winning 1 more game this year, or winning maybe 3 more games, which I'd hope is the best possibility. This doesn't include the ACCT. We need to beat Clemson first, then get 2 more wins against teams in the final 6 games. VT and SU are the most likely wins for us in that group.

I could see them winning their remaining home games with Clemson, Virginia and Syracuse and splitting the 4 road games at VT FSU NC State and Georgia Tech to finish 5-2. It will be a tall order but it’s not impossible to suggest it can and will happen.
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If they do that the the NCAAS are very much in play heading into the ACCt.