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What is our record against the spread this year?

MarshallGoldberg

All Conference
Oct 23, 2017
5,941
3,725
113
Lazy question. Basically wondering if the "RPI can't measure how bad we are" transferred to gambling lines or if betters adjusted more quickly than computers.
 
Lazy question. Basically wondering if the "RPI can't measure how bad we are" transferred to gambling lines or if betters adjusted more quickly than computers.

I see one place that has Pitt at 11-11 ATS. probably not going to be 100% accurate as there are slightly different lines at different books, but probably pretty close.
 
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I'm cleaning up on betting Pitt games this year as the lines have typically been way too low or way too high, IMO. A lot of recency bias. I had never bet against Pitt before in my life, but have a majority of this season. The only time I recall losing a bet is the WVU game when they somehow covered with that stupid late run.

BC opened at -5 last night. If that's not easy money, I don't know what is.
 
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The site I use has us at 8-19 against the spread

Not sure where there coming up with that as there have only been pointspreads on 22 games, some of the early season small conference games were unlined.

It looks like Pitt covered pretty easily against:

UCSB
Okla St
Duquesne
WVU
Va Tech
Miami
NC St
Syracuse (2)

Duke and Towson are the only 2 questionable ones, and at most places Pitt beat the closer both times.
 
I'm cleaning up on betting Pitt games this year as the lines have typically been way too low or way too high, IMO. A lot of recency bias. I had never bet against Pitt before in my life, but have a majority of this season. The only time I recall losing a bet is the WVU game when they somehow covered with that stupid late run.

BC opened at -5 last night. If that's not easy money, I don't know what is.

How much $ have u made off Pitt this year? lol
 
How much $ have u made off Pitt this year? lol
Haha - not a ton. I only gamble for fun, like $25 or $50 a game. I just looked, I'm 11-3 on Pitt games this year.

Lost:
  1. WVU - 15 (thought the press would destroy us)
  2. Pitt +19.5 v. Clemson (was hoping Clemson had an off-night from 3, didn't happen)
  3. Pitt on the money line v. NC State (had a feeling we'd get this one)

Won:
  1. Penn State - 9.5 (gag, I know)
  2. Pitt - 5.5 v. Duquense (can't lose twice in a row)
  3. Louisville - 17 (they own us)
  4. Pitt +16 v. VT (always seem to be close games, recency bias after Louisville loss)
  5. under 155 v. Duke (didn't think we'd give up 100 and knew we couldn't score 60+)
  6. Pitt +18 v. Syracuse (always close)
  7. under 150.5 v. Duke (how could anyone bet this over after seeing Pitt's offense against Cuse the game before?)
  8. Pitt + 11 v. Syracuse (always close)
  9. Pitt + 16.5 v. Miami (thought the first game was closer than appeared)
  10. Louisville - 10.5 (EASY MONEY)
  11. BC - 5 (EASY MONEY)
So, to my credit, 5 of my wins were actually FOR Pitt somehow and 2 were just easy over/unders.

Hoping the moneyline odds are good for Wake. The next game against FSU will be interesting to see where the line opens, FSU tends to play close games, either way.
 
Haha - not a ton. I only gamble for fun, like $25 or $50 a game. I just looked, I'm 11-3 on Pitt games this year.

Lost:
  1. WVU - 15 (thought the press would destroy us)
  2. Pitt +19.5 v. Clemson (was hoping Clemson had an off-night from 3, didn't happen)
  3. Pitt on the money line v. NC State (had a feeling we'd get this one)

Won:
  1. Penn State - 9.5 (gag, I know)
  2. Pitt - 5.5 v. Duquense (can't lose twice in a row)
  3. Louisville - 17 (they own us)
  4. Pitt +16 v. VT (always seem to be close games, recency bias after Louisville loss)
  5. under 155 v. Duke (didn't think we'd give up 100 and knew we couldn't score 60+)
  6. Pitt +18 v. Syracuse (always close)
  7. under 150.5 v. Duke (how could anyone bet this over after seeing Pitt's offense against Cuse the game before?)
  8. Pitt + 11 v. Syracuse (always close)
  9. Pitt + 16.5 v. Miami (thought the first game was closer than appeared)
  10. Louisville - 10.5 (EASY MONEY)
  11. BC - 5 (EASY MONEY)
So, to my credit, 5 of my wins were actually FOR Pitt somehow and 2 were just easy over/unders.

Hoping the moneyline odds are good for Wake. The next game against FSU will be interesting to see where the line opens, FSU tends to play close games, either way.

So u have made 200-300$ off Pitt?

Not bad lol...
 
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Am I crazy for thinking Pitt can score more than 60.5 points today? FSU's average margin of victory in the ACC is about 6.5. Pitt getting 22 is a ton. I need some action today. Any opinions?
 
14.5 minutes left. There's no way Pitt won't be able to get me 15 more points, right?

All gravy from here $$...boy, would be nice to shut-up the haters with a win, if only for the rest of the night.
 
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