What's the Steelers playoff scenarios?
- Thread starter Sean Miller Fan
- Start date
I think it’s cool that we are headed into ravens week with this type of interest. But just as last year, making the playoffs is like putting a band aid on a large gaping wound. But I like having the added intrigue for another week or two.
Then Steelers need MIA to lose to both NE and NYJ.... and NYJ to lose to SEA .... and NE to lose to BUF.
There's all sorts of rules they have to follow. Fox and CBS are each allowed to protect one game. On top of that, teams can't appear on prime time more than a certain number of times each year, so some teams might be maxed out.
These are all possibilities better than last years. But it’s like hitting a big parlay, which I have managed to go the entire season without hitting one. Lol.
Edit: with the steeler two wins, we are looking a 6 game parlay.
Who knows, if that current 3% isn’t already factoring in a Chargers win tonight, you’d think that would cut it in half. But 1.5%, 3%, 5%, can’t get too excited about any of those odds.
Why do you do it @UPitt '89? These guys aren’t worth the knowledge they just wanna quibble over semantics.
I think the Steelers will be eliminated beforehand, but if it came down to needing the Bills to beat the Patriots, I’m wondering if the Bills will still be playing for anything the last week or if their playoff position will already be determined.
I guess there’s a good chance they’ll still be battling the Chiefs for top seed and the only bye. Bengals could still be in play as well.
The Bills are tied with KC at 12-3.
Unless KC shits the bed, the Bills will be playing for the #1 seed and 1st round bye and home field throughout.
They'll play that game to win. Thats the one i am least worried about.
I am most worried about the Jets beating Miami. The Jets absolutely suck right now.
Because there are enough lurkers who aren't looking to be trolls that genuinely want the information.
And I am a stats freak.
Fk_pitt put it nicely. Assuming the Chargers win one of their final 3 games...
The Steelers playoff chances are now a 6-game moneyline parlay.
1. PIT over BAL
2. SEA over NYJ
3. NE over MIA
4. PIT over CLE
5. BUF over NE
6. NYJ over MIA
If those 6 hit... Steelers are in the playoffs.
The Steelers playoff chances are now a 6-game moneyline parlay.
1. PIT over BAL
2. SEA over NYJ
3. NE over MIA
4. PIT over CLE
5. BUF over NE
6. NYJ over MIA
If those 6 hit... Steelers are in the playoffs.
Ranking these 6 in order of likelihood:
1. BUF over NE
2. SEA over NYJ
3. PIT over CLE
4. NE over MIA
5. PIT over BAL
6. NYJ over MIA
I know. It’s just me. I’m the kiss of death. I had a parlay a couple weeks ago where I hit on like 9 legs. The only thing I missed on was Najee falling 2 yards short of a benchmark (might have been 50 yards) because he came out at halftime injured. That’s the kind of stuff that happens to me.
Actually Seattle over the Jets is one of the least likely to happen, they are around +125 on the money line right now. Other than the Steelers next week and the Jets over Miami on the final day the others are much more lIkely.
It’s relatively easy to get an approximate odds on this 6 way parlay, as 3 of the games already have odds posted:
PIT over BAL +155
SEA over NYJ +126
NE over MIA -102
Odds the final week are obviously tricky as we still don’t know which teams will be resting players, no one that I know will put up look ahead numbers like most have done all season. Let’s be conservative and go with:
PIT over CLE -150
BUF over NE -300
NYJ over MIA +200
Put it all together and that 6 team parlay pays 75-1, so not much of a chance but at least a chip and a chair.
That 75-1 is 1.5% chance. The Chargers odds of losing all 3 are why Steelers' odds are around 2-3% overall.
Steelers are very fortunate to play NFC South. Other than the opening day win against Bengals, who did they beat? This exercise of talking about scenarios to get into playoffs is a waste. They will get throttled in first round. Burrow only good QB they beat and lucky to do so with 5 turnovers. Their other 6 wins had who at QB?? Ok, Brady……he’s a shell of himself at 45. This team stinks, period!
You’re pretty stating the obvious but exaggerating that the Steelers stink. They’ve demonstrated they don’t stink, but have also demonstrated they’re a number of levels below the elite teams, or any team with a high-powered offense.
I’ll give em credit for one thing, improving their rush defense a good bit from last year and earlier this season. In the last few weeks they shut down a Carolina Panthers rushing attack that was running over teams before playing the Steelers and then again after playing the Steelers. Pretty similar for Jacob’s and the Raiders although the Raiders did them some favors passing as much as they did.
They could conceivably get up to 12 or 13 which only makes a difference if a guy you really wants gets snagged right in front of you. The fact that the Steelers will have the 32 or 33 pick to lead off the second round then draft again in the mid 40s will make this draft very interesting.
The falcons let the Steelers off the hook too by forgetting about the running game. The fact is the league has lot of mediocrity in it and the Steelers are firmly a part of that mass.
Lose to Cleveland, NE and NYJ…
Beat the NFC south and you’ll be hovering around .500 and that’s what they’ve done.
I still have to chuckle at the folks here who thought it was laughable when it was suggested that due to the Steelers back half of the schedule being soft, they could get to minimum 7 wins.
When the Steelers were 2-6, I told people not to be surprised if Tomlin kept his "no losing seasons" streak going. The Steelers' schedule was extremely front-loaded.
Fact is... and I truly believe this.... if the Steelers went into training camp with Pickett as QB1 and he had gotten all the 1st-team reps in camp and pre-season and started the season as QB1.... The Steelers would be 10-5 or 9-6 right now, and his development would be much further along.
They screwed up by not giving him any 1st-team reps until after the Jets game.
I sure can’t see the Steelers being 10-5 or 9-6 with KP having started from the get go. I don’t see his level of play being that much higher than Trubisky.
But the biggest reason….Matt Canada the OC regardless of the QB.
I also think the oline has improved a bit. The right side is fine. Not great but serviceable. The left side needs addressed in the draft. And I agree that the Steelers would have a better record by a game or two. 10-5 is a stretch, but your point is well taken because they chemistry with the receivers wasn’t built like it should have been. So I guess I’m saying…maybe.
And in our annual Tomlin passes up OL for skill players. Steelers draft Tomlins buddies kid Joey Porter Jr at #15.
Here's the SG Parlay I'm doing tonight:
Ekeler - anytime TD
Herbert - Under 282 yards passing
Foles - Over 0.5 interceptions
Herbert - Under 37.5 pass attempts
I think that the Chargers will have a lead almost the whole game, and not passing much at all. I think Foles, in trying to overcome the deficit, will pass a lot and definitely throw at least one pick.
If you want to juice it a bit more for a bigger payout.... Add Ekeler Over 54.5 rushing yards.
2 of the first 4 have already happened.
Ekeler TD
Foles INT
Herbert on pace for about 35 pass attempts and 240 yards.
Ekeler needs to pick up the rushing pace for the "5th leg"... currently on pace for 36 yards.
With possibly Tua. being out the rest if the year with his 3rd concussion, this is no longer remote.
I forgot that we also need the Jets to lose to Seattle in that scenario. But that's not that remote either.
I didn’t. Lol. Fan duel doesn’t have the int option in a same game parlay, Plus, the payouts didn’t seem high so I balked. But congrats. By the looks of things, it was easy money for you. What were the odds/payout?
I decided instead to combine a big parlay for the Chelsea and Man U games today. I’ll wait until the lineups are announced an hour before to place the bet. For whatever reason I do well with soccer. I just haven’t hit on NFL all year.
Dude I’m still thinking about your parlay from last nights game. That’s awesome. You were like Babe Ruth calling your shot. You posted your W two hours before kickoff.
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