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Will China take Taiwan soon?

Pitt666

Redshirt
Feb 19, 2024
942
475
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Sort of would make things even more interesting. They said they are willing to fight “any” war until the end. They have a ton of US debt and could unleash massive pain to US bonds. China also has less poverty than US. If 60% in US are really living paycheck to paycheck, chances are China won’t blink first. They also locked there people up during Covid, not like laws but like physically put barriers up to keep them in. They won’t care if their people suffer economically. So now would be an interesting time to finally take Taiwan back.
 
Sort of would make things even more interesting. They said they are willing to fight “any” war until the end. They have a ton of US debt and could unleash massive pain to US bonds. China also has less poverty than US. If 60% in US are really living paycheck to paycheck, chances are China won’t blink first. They also locked there people up during Covid, not like laws but like physically put barriers up to keep them in. They won’t care if their people suffer economically. So now would be an interesting time to finally take Taiwan back.
That is definitely a concern. I agree about China not backing down. If we want to continue going after them (which is definitely a worthwhile consideration) there will be major pain on our end and Taiwan would be a major problem. This is why I would have preferred Trump focus only on China and been more diplomatic with everyone else behind the scenes on trade and work together to isolate China.
 
I believe an invasion of Taiwan is a legitimate threat. But one that they won't rush into. The threat that they may invade is where their leverage lies. An actual invasion changes the game and could take away some of their leverage. While it isn't the nuclear option, it is pretty much the next closest thing. I expect them to threaten to do it and begin to stage massive amounts of troops, weapons and naval boats close by and start war games in the China Sea. But unless they can get the EU, Japan and Australia to agree to not support the US if they invade, they won't actually invade. The EU is going to use that as a bargaining chip with us and will likely get the tariffs dropped.

We aren't independent enough to do without Taiwan and we aren't prepared to fight for them either. But the old adage of MAD (mutually assured destruction) sort of applies here, because China isn't equipped to deal with the international backlash an invasion would cause.
 
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