Are we in ?
- Thread starter iMissTheOldDayss
- Start date
The following stuff cant happen:
Temple or Tulsa win the American tourney
Michigan beats Purdue
SDSU doesnt win MW
SBU gets to A10 Finals
Michigan and Temple can eliminate themselves tomorrow.
Temple or Tulsa win the American tourney
Michigan beats Purdue
SDSU doesnt win MW
SBU gets to A10 Finals
Michigan and Temple can eliminate themselves tomorrow.
Most of the "experts" think there are 4-6 teams below us before we reach the "cut" line. But as long as games are still being played, things can happen.
Please dear god yes...even if we get taken to the woodshed first game it funs to see your name in usa today and be part of the tourney.
Temple is in. Uconn and or Tulsa can play themselves in. Saint Bonnie is in.
Sdsu not winning
Akron not winning.
Someone winning the sec other than Kentucky or Texas am
Michigan or Osu getting to big ten finals or winning it.
As you can tell reading the replies, none of these guys know a dang thing. Sunday will tell. There are no guarantees.
We're on the bubble. It doesn't matter what Joey Brackets says, only what the committee thinks are important. We have some questionable losses and a 50 RPI. Luckily this is a down year for a lot of teams. So, I'm hoping for a good match up ie team with slower guards and a comparably sized front line.
I'd say 98% in.
SDSU and Akron aren't threats to Pitt. If you are a 12 seed, and Pitt is a 10 seed, you don't jump up 2 seed lines with a bad loss.
Florida and GW losing today were big.
The team hurt worst today by UConn I think was Tulsa. I don't see the AAC getting 4 in, and Tulsa now might need the auto bid. Houston definitely needs it.
SMF is right, Pitt should root for Uconn tomorrow. Temple very iffy profile.
Basically everyone outside Lunardi doesn't even really have us on the bubble. Palm has us as "should be in", I think that's right.
SDSU and Akron aren't threats to Pitt. If you are a 12 seed, and Pitt is a 10 seed, you don't jump up 2 seed lines with a bad loss.
Florida and GW losing today were big.
The team hurt worst today by UConn I think was Tulsa. I don't see the AAC getting 4 in, and Tulsa now might need the auto bid. Houston definitely needs it.
SMF is right, Pitt should root for Uconn tomorrow. Temple very iffy profile.
Basically everyone outside Lunardi doesn't even really have us on the bubble. Palm has us as "should be in", I think that's right.
You...never...stop.
Pitt was going to lose to wake forest, and then cuse, and then Duke, and then cuse again...and now we won't make it.
Just stop
I assume your talking about the 10 lunardi gave us when saying sdsu won't jump two seed lines. But we aren't a true ten in that scenario we are actually lower than a 12. If one bid leagues become two it most definitely will hurt us.
I cannot see how anyone can say we are comfortably in. Or comfortably out. We are literally on the bubble.
I am thinking UNC's boatracing of ND as not hurting us. Because we at least made it a game for a half or so.
I am thinking UNC's boatracing of ND as not hurting us. Because we at least made it a game for a half or so.
Yeah it's definitely not as clear cut as some like to make it out. Kind of like all the claims of it being a weak bubble for weeks now. A lot of teams fighting for the last few spots so I don't know how that makes it a weak bubble.
But it's all good, that's what makes this time of the year so much fun.
Why are we lower than SDSU? If SDSU was better than us, they would be seeded higher right now. They would be a 7-8-9 seed. Literally no one has SDSU seeded higher than Pitt. If they lose, and you have to evaluate them as an at large, with another bad loss on their resume, how could you move them up a seed line or two after a loss? You wouldn't.
The teams that could really hurt Pitt right now that are left are LSU, Houston, Davidson...those teams would get in the field and truly eliminate a bubble team. I don't think SDSU would.
You're missing the point. You're going off lunardi giving us a ten. But we aren't a 10, we are playing the play in game. Meaning we are really below a 12.
I don't agree with that. The reason we have to play in to be a 10 seed is that you cannot have a conference champ in a play in game. So, the final bubble teams in go to Dayton. If SDSU was ahead of Pitt, they could easily be on the 8-9 line and the play in game might be between two 12 seeds. Some years, when you have better conference champs who are better, the play in game is to be a 12 seed. This year, the mid majors aren't good, so they all go to the back of the bracket, and the play in game is between 10's and 11's.
Also, I trust the bracketologists who think very little of SDSU. I don't think that would be a two bid league.
Right, even if you look at Lunardi's bracket he has Temple ranked in the same seed range as the Last 4 Byes as of this moment, but he won't actually put them there because they're the projected auto-bid. Same for SDSU, who is slotted in as an 11.
Palm includes all teams (whether they're his projected auto-bid or not) in his bubble watch and he has UConn, Temple, and George Washington all lumped together near the end of the "On The Fence" section. SDSU is not included in the bubble watch, FWIW.
BracketMatrix also has Temple and SDSU slotted in behind schools like Pitt, Vanderbilt, Connecticut, and St. Mary's in terms of true seeding.
Helps Pitt doubly. Tulsa misses an opportunity to pick up a good win in either of their first 2 AAC Tournament games.
SI's assessment:
The Panthers were likely playing with house money in the ACC quarterfinals against North Carolina, a game in which they hung tough but ultimately fell by 17 points against the top-seeded Tar Heels. Still, they own wins against Duke and Notre Dame, and have nine top-100 wins. That should be enough.
Path to the tournament: Pitt isn't going to get better than a No. 8 or 9 seed, but it will hear its name called on Selection Sunday.
Lunardi seems to be on a bit of an island right now. Palm also appears confident in Pitt, as well as Sporting News among the more "mainstream" brackets.
The Panthers were likely playing with house money in the ACC quarterfinals against North Carolina, a game in which they hung tough but ultimately fell by 17 points against the top-seeded Tar Heels. Still, they own wins against Duke and Notre Dame, and have nine top-100 wins. That should be enough.
Path to the tournament: Pitt isn't going to get better than a No. 8 or 9 seed, but it will hear its name called on Selection Sunday.
Lunardi seems to be on a bit of an island right now. Palm also appears confident in Pitt, as well as Sporting News among the more "mainstream" brackets.
People keep acting like Cincy is a lock but I'm not so sure. Put our resume side by side.
We are 20-11. They are 22-10, similar records.
Both have 2 Top 50 wins. We have 9 Top 100s. They have 7. We have 2 sub 100 losses. They have 1.
What I like about our resume is 7 of 11 losses came to RPIs 17 or better. 6 of their 9 losses came against RPI 49 or worse.
I dont think its Pitt or Cincy. Both are pretty safe but I think we can jump them for a better seed.
We are 20-11. They are 22-10, similar records.
Both have 2 Top 50 wins. We have 9 Top 100s. They have 7. We have 2 sub 100 losses. They have 1.
What I like about our resume is 7 of 11 losses came to RPIs 17 or better. 6 of their 9 losses came against RPI 49 or worse.
I dont think its Pitt or Cincy. Both are pretty safe but I think we can jump them for a better seed.
That's a good point. Pitts resume is basically, this isn't a top 25 team, but it's clearly a tournament team. Pitt's record is very strong when compared the bubble.
We just seem like a 9 seed to me. Very flawed high major with a good record against teams 25-100, and fewer bad losses than any other bubble team.
It has to hurt them some. You can't be one and done to an iffy team in a blah league and not drop some.
AAC tourney breaking good for bubble teams. Houston out, Tulsa getting killed.
Memphis could steal a bid in the finals, but so what. The other two bubble teams are out, and Uconn or temple would be a big favorite in the finals, and if either lost to Memphis, it would actually hurt them.
If you dont get the auto bid in the AAC, you aren't safe.
In the AAC, root for Tulane. Why? Because they have already decided to fire their coach when the conference tournament is over, and them making the NCAA tournament would bring up a hilarious conundrum for them. Does Tulane fire a coach that just got them to the NCAA, or do they swallow their pride and bring him back even though they've already decided to can him? What would be the repercussions for a program at the level of Tulane to fire a guy that just got them to the NCAA tournament?
Many on this board want to fire a coach who is about to make his 11th tourney in 13 years. Which is more hilarious
