ESPN Analytics still predicts Pitt has only a 22.2% chance to beat Vanderbilt.
Sagarin's computer (which usually predicts close to what the Vegas odds makers will do) would have Vandy by only about 1 point (based only on the Home Court Advantage).
This seems like a disconnect--probably too much emphasis by ESPN Analytics on Pitt's early games? If ESPN Analytics were closer to Sagarin's computer Pitt would probably have an over 40% chance of winnnig, I would expect.
It will be interesting to see which prediction the odds makers will be closer to favoring when they release their opening line in a day or two.
Sagarin's computer (which usually predicts close to what the Vegas odds makers will do) would have Vandy by only about 1 point (based only on the Home Court Advantage).
This seems like a disconnect--probably too much emphasis by ESPN Analytics on Pitt's early games? If ESPN Analytics were closer to Sagarin's computer Pitt would probably have an over 40% chance of winnnig, I would expect.
It will be interesting to see which prediction the odds makers will be closer to favoring when they release their opening line in a day or two.