I disagree. I think this was the NCAA finally thinking its in the best interest of the students and I'm sure they didn't think 30% of all players would transfer in a given year or up to 75% of players wouldn't end their career at their first school. It has become a shitshow and its bad for the business. Its also bad for the kids as its teaching them to quit with no accountability if things get tough.
Obviously I don’t agree, and I think history proves that my take is the correct one.
if it ever does change, it will be out of concern from the big programs and TV networks that the poor are benefiting too much (aka, at all) and the rich are not.
Relative to Pitt, it’s arguable that our two most important players in football (Addison) and basketball (Hugely) decided to stay put rather than move to a bigger program.
Assuming(and that’s all it is, an assumption) that this is true for most cases like these, I believe the big programs expected differently … I think they expected to reap more windfalls in talent with this rule.
Perhaps they were also not expecting to lose as many of the depth guys in their programs that decided to transfer. They were happy to lose their dead wood but maybe also lost important depth guys that they’re regretting. And this may be more the perception of the greedy-pig coaches who want ALL the talent, yours and theirs…but their perception typically becomes reality.
If the Sabans or Kelly’s (or counterparts in basketball) are butthurt they lost too many key special teams and backup guys but that more guys like Addison didn’t betray Pitt and join their flock, they won’t let the rule stand for too long.
If that is the case, I think the rule will be modified. For this, and no other reason, no consideration in the least about how great it might be for the players or for the minor programs. As mentioned, those would actually be seen as demerits, at least in the smoke filled mahogany paneled rooms.