A lot of Pitt fans seem to think if we are fortunate to win Xavier is a good match up. I checked Vegas odds on winning tourney. We are 300 to one, Xavier is 28 to one. That doesn't seem to be a real great match up to me. Will be watching Nelly Cummings this evening and if anybody is interested will report on him let me know
have to laugh
- Thread starter meadvillecoach
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Those overall odds to win the tourney have little to do with an individual game.
By good match up I think people mean there's at least a chance we could win. Compare that with other 2 seeds, like MSU, and Xavier sea alot better. Looking forward to your report on Cummings. It seems like he's really good but his lack of offers is surprising. He's a ridiculous athlete.
Using Pomeroy's predictions, Pitt has odds of 43.8%, 38.1%, and 35.9% for the first three rounds, should they make it to any of them. Odds against Xavier aren't really that much worse than Wisconsin. Pitt had only 25% when we played UNC a week ago, for reference.
I don't think many folks are predicting a sweet 16 run- but Xavier appears to be a team we might have 20-25% chance of beating; as opposed to 10-15% vs the other 2 seeds.
I read somewhere Pitt has 2nd highest odds (behind Gonzaga) of all the double digit seeds to advance to the sweet 16-- something like a 15% chance.
Perhaps Pitt can reverse the narrative we've been on the other side of so many times.
Would that be the same Vegas that would make the hypothetical Pitt/Xavier game about a 5 point spread?
It is a much bette alternative than being placed in the 8/9 game or having MSU lurking in the next round. That is why people are positive.
Yea Xavier would be about a 4 or 5 point favorite. Doable for sure. They are better but not much better. I would guess Kansas would be favored by 12-14. This is why its so much better to be a 10 than a 8 or 9. Hope we make the most of it.
