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Pitt's problem is there's zero opportunity for another Q1 win unless they advance at least a round in the ACCT. And, honestly fir the better, not sure the committee weighs conference tourney wins (unless you win the whole thing) like regular season wins.
This is where I am too.Yeah, and NC State losing the other day all but nullifies the chances of that game moving to a quad one win. I think it's possible they get in based on road record merit if they win the next four... but the other side of that is they probably aren't going to win the next four.
Pitt is more likely to win the next four rather than lose one. It’s how their metrics have been all year. NCST is still 78 and Cuse is all creeping up to 81. Pitt’s last two losses were games where they were 7 plus point underdogs. In the last 5 games in which they have been favored, they are 5-0 ATS. Metrics also matter. Lunardi moved us up due to metrics. BPI rose 3 after Clemson loss. If they can handily take care of business in the next four, the metrics get them to Dayton. If they lost one of the next four, they don’t belong, but I don’t get the talk of they probably aren’t going to win the next four.Yeah, and NC State losing the other day all but nullifies the chances of that game moving to a quad one win. I think it's possible they get in based on road record merit if they win the next four... but the other side of that is they probably aren't going to win the next four.
Pitt is more likely to win the next four rather than lose one. It’s how their metrics have been all year. NCST is still 78 and Cuse is all creeping up to 81. Pitt’s last two losses were games where they were 7 plus point underdogs. In the last 5 games in which they have been favored, they are 5-0 ATS. Metrics also matter. Lunardi moved us up due to metrics. BPI rose 3 after Clemson loss. If they can handily take care of business in the next four, the metrics get them to Dayton. If they lost one of the next four, they don’t belong, but I don’t get the talk of they probably aren’t going to win the next four.
There’s a ton of moving parts with this, and the whole nation is not waiting to see whether Pitt loses or not.
Ultimately we have a lot of work to do between now and Selection Sunday, but somehow, we still have a chance.
Win out is the first and most important step, and then let’s see where the marbles fall for the ACC tourney. I think that means if you win 2 games in the tourney including a win over one of the top 4 seeds, then that might be enough to crawl your way back to Dayton.