Pitt vs. Duke game thread

[BFo8]

It's usually a little less in college than in the pros. But like I said, they both change from year to year.

I believe the "real" break even point, given how often teams make two pointers and how often teams miss extra points, is in the high 30s, like 37-38%. If you can make more than 37% of your two pointers the math says go for two after the first touchdown.

At the NFL level the rule moving back the extra point in 2015 was a big part of it. Conversions going down from 99% to around 94% since it’s implementation definitely affects the percentages.

 

[FireballZ]

50/50 make it. Which means you now just won the game 50% of the time if you get another TD.

25% of the time you miss it twice. You lose

25% of the time you miss the first make the second. You go to OT. You pick up 12.5% more chance to win since OT is 50/50

62.5% versus 50/50 assuming that you are 50/50 on two point conversions and 100% on PATs

We haven’t made it 50/50 this year from a yard, so don’t like our chances from 3.

 

[pbrad]

How do you come out of a time out and give up essentially a fairly standard pass to the corner for a touchdown??? Seriously

Happens routinely for this team.

 

[pbrad]

There’s a reason why teams at the NFL level are now implementing this strategy more and more. Within a couple seasons it will be commonplace.

The NFL goes from the 2 yard line.

 

[thom67]

Unless you can show me the analytics, I’m doubting teams make it 50% of the time they go for 2. Not saying it’s not true…just seems high to me.

The question should be: what percentage does Pitt gain 2 yards on third or 4th down?

 

[Joe the Panther Fan]

The question should be: what percentage does Pitt gain 2 yards on third or 4th down?

Yeah, but unless that's at the goal line then it still really isn't a perfect comparison.