In addition to Jax State and JMU, there are 11 teams ahead of Pitt right now when you exclude the teams that have already qualified. One of Wisconsin and Minnesota will definitely get to 6 wins as they play each other. Cincy likely wont get to 5. Auburn should beat New Mexico State and get to 6 wins. Iowa State over BYU will get them to 6. So that likely leaves Northwestern, Wake, Boise State, Rice, Miss State, UCF and then Pitt in the pecking order?
T1 Northwestern (4-5)
T1 Wisconsin (5-4; plays northwestern/minn)
6 Cincinnati (2-7; Houston; WVU; Kansas)
T8 Minnesota (5-4; plays wisconsin)
T8 Wake Forest (4-5; ncst; cuse; ND)
T13 Boise State (4-5)
T15 Iowa State (5-4; BYU, KSU; UT)
T15 Rice (4-5)
T19 Auburn (5-4; NM State)
T19 Mississippi State
22 UCF
T23 Pitt
T23 South Carolina (would need to beat Clemson or Kentucky)