That's fair. But other guys have connections, too; that's part of the recruiting game. Plus he's still gotten talent beyond those guys (including transfers with other options), and any new coach who comes here will always get that initial "selling a vision" bump in recruiting.
I could be wrong on this, but I think Capel was oversold on the potential of X and Femi. And I was high on Femi's potential.
X came out of the gate putting up significant points as a freshmen. Athletic, explosive with a fast first step, tons of potential. Johnson is a 5th year senior averaging 5 points per game at Indiana playing under 20 minutes per game. Those numbers will go up, but its not even close to the 1 and done talk from Johnson 5 years ago. Johnson never developed into a high end college player and shooting is a big reason why along with lots of turnovers.
Femi is the same. Huge senior season in prep basketball. Tall, huge wingspan, decent athletic ability and defender, lots of potential. There was plenty of interest from quality schools in the portal with him. He's averaging 4 points per game as a backup at Seton Hall currently and never filled out the potential, at least not yet.
The EYBL / summer league numbers are very important. There is a huge correlation to quality players in the EYBL / summer leagues and what players do in college. The numbers at guard play in the EYBL from Dior Johnson, Lowe, and Carrington, blow away every other guard we got with the exceptions of Mintz and Hood-Schifino. Femi missed time in the summer league, and X was average in the summer league. X is still average in college, maybe above average.
The 3 head scratchers are Julian Champagnie, Posh Alexander, and Ty-laur Johnson, all of which were big time in the EYBL / summer league. We already paid the price now not recruiting the former 2.
I think its still early to say what Jeffress can do / become, he is still really young. Drumgoole was a bust at the Power 6 and so was Mcgowens.
I think the jury is also still out with Dellquan Warren. This is another player that is quite similar to X with poor decision making but outstanding "potential". We are targeting him heavily. But in terms of basketball skill at the current time, he is quite behind Lowe, Carrington, and Dior until he fixes his decision making on the floor.
I think Capel's judgement on our guards has been poor, and that includes guards he passed on in high school. And that also includes Horton, who Capel thought was a superstar from practices.