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Some Talk About Texas Leaving The Big-12, LINK!

CaptainSidneyReilly

Chancellor
Dec 25, 2006
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It is on the Texas Rival Boards but some very intelligent and knowledgeable Posters down there talking about which conference they should join in case the Big-12 becomes raided?
LINK:
Big 10 pursuing Texas?
http://texas.forums.rivals.com/threads/big-10-pursuing-texas.107165/


Some comments I liked learning from:
BringBackRoyal, Yesterday at 9:24 AM
No thanks. It's the last of the other four P5 conferences I'd want us to join.

Thanks, swVAHorn. I realize I'm in the minority in my deep opposition to the B1G, at least on this board. Of the other four conferences, the B1G has by far the worst demographic trends, the most painfully boring football, mostly awful road destinations, the worst late-season weather, and it has diluted itself with relative dead weight in the latest round of expansion (Nebraska is a good name, of course, if no longer a good program or much of a TV value, but Maryland and Rutgers are awful additions from a fan perspective). It also already has too many teams for Texas to be able to bring along a few other schools, meaning Texas would be a complete geographic isolate. Other than staying in the Big 12 forever, I can't think of a better way to hand aggy more of a long-term benefit than to join a conference with as many negatives as the B1G has compared to the SEC for a recruit from Texas. Also, we would join the B1G West, which has none of the true marquee programs (Nebraska's a permanent has-been to me). Look at Iowa's schedule this year. Or Nebraska's. Just awful. We would have those years.

A Pac-16 with Texas (and Oklahoma) would have the two most populous states in the country, two of the three states with the most talent, five of the eight fastest-growing states (seven of the top 20, and eight of the top 23), and a population footprint of 96 million. (The SEC currently has a population of ~67 million plus some portion of East Texas, as there's only one school in Texas that delivers the entire state.) The B1G has a very large population footprint, but it also has five of the 12 slowest-growing states, with all states but one in the bottom half, and a hollowed-out, declining economic core. The demographic future is in the West and the South.

Texas would play in the Pacific time zone all of twice per year in the Pac-16, and some of these would be afternoon games. The Pac-16's scheduling patterns would also inevitably shift somewhat to take advantage of the conference's expansion into the Central time zone, which it craves, and this would work in our favor. We would also bring along some neighbors, meaning we wouldn't be the one geographic outlier, and I would also be happy about continuing to play some teams with which we have at least some history (Tech and OSU) rather than severing all old relationships. Opening a permanent connection to the tremendous and growing Southern California talent zone -- which exceeds what the local teams use -- would be a big gain, and the conference's collective talent base wouldn't be nearly as saturated as the B1G's. I would also much rather have our coaches recruit against the backdrop of a Pac-16 schedule in general -- given the conference's many great road destinations, far better weather, and what would be the inclusion of a few schools located nearby -- than against that of the miserable B1G West.


cwillfromdatx, Today at 12:23 AM
I would rather see us moved into the PAC if we were to relocate. We would only be playing 4 schools in the pacific time zone if we were put into a pod system. The NW pod would be UW, WSU, Ore, OSU. Cali pod would be Stan, Cal, USC and UCLA. Mountain pod would be Ari, ASU, Utah and CU. Tex pod would be UT, TT, OK, and OK st. That would be 3 games in the central time zone, 2 from the mountain time zone and 4 from the pacific time zone. That would give us a total of 9 conference games( the same as we have now) and 3 out of conference games. This would be much better than a freezing, snowing cold day of the up north. Playing up in Seattle once in for years is really not that bad as some may think. I would be totally against the late start games for us and they would most likely work around that in our favor

BringBackRoyal, 19 minutes ago
Strongly disagree. Some people said this same sort of thing when people started wanting out of the declining SWC (things like "Let's get our house in order before we move to a better, tougher conference."). But, in reality, it's too bad we didn't get out of that dump of a conference a decade earlier. The crappiness of the SWC is precisely what prevented us from putting our house in order, as it put a low ceiling on our potential for success (without cheating). (No, it wasn't the coaching hires. That was a symptom of our weakness, not the cause.)

You don't evaluate moving to a different conference through the lens of the program's current on-field performance -- you evaluate it based on what appear to be the long-term advantages and disadvantages. The Big 12 isn't as bad as the latter-day SWC by any means, but it's a relative demographic weakling, and it will be at a serious and perpetual disadvantage in TV contract negotiations, TV coverage, and all-around prestige. It has no appealing realistic options for significant expansion. Everyone's happy because we got substantially overpaid this time around. That won't happen again, and, even with the money, the actual TV exposure for the conference is crap. TV exposure influences how much your program gets talked about in general, and it has a big impact on recruiting (see the latter-day SWC).

Texas needs to get out of this conference as soon as is practicable to a conference with more market power. This sets the foundation for better sustained performance in the current era of college football. How we're playing today is irrelevant.




 
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If Texas would ever leave the Big 12 the lead would disband and the other teams would either move to another P4 conference or AAC. There is no team in the Big 12 that would be a good fit for the ACC
 
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If Texas would ever leave the Big 12 the lead would disband and the other teams would either move to another P4 conference or AAC. There is no team in the Big 12 that would be a good fit for the ACC

For the life of me, I can't figure out why they aren't trying to bolster the conference. The fact that Baylor and TCU are in the Top 10 should be enough evidence to prove that as long as you are committed to football and are associated with some top programs, you can build your program into a contender. Based on this, I would branch off into Florida if I were the B12 and my main target would be UCF. Big school, lots of alumni, solid recruiting area. Yes, they are not the kind of addition that would shock and awe the football world. But, they are one of the few non P5 programs in the country with the best potential to turn into a good P5 program. This would give them a better chance of success than their current strategy of doing nothing does. They are not in position to be able to poach top P5 teams. If they were, they'd have done it already, which is why they sitting there with WVU.
 
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I agree if the Big 12 went on the offensive they should add Cincy & UCF.

For the life of me, I can't figure out why they aren't trying to bolster the conference. The fact that Baylor and TCU are in the Top 10 should be enough evidence to prove that as long as you are committed to football and are associated with some top programs, you can build your program into a contender. Based on this, I would branch off into Florida if I were the B12 and my main target would be UCF. Big school, lots of alumni, solid recruiting area. Yes, they are not the kind of addition that would shock and awe the football world. But, they are one of the few non P5 programs in the country with the best potential to turn into a good P5 program. This would give them a better chance of success than their current strategy of doing nothing does. They are not in position to be able to poach top P5 teams. If they were, they'd have done it already, which is why they sitting there with WVU.
 
big 12 and the ACC are two P5 conferences that could be destroyed with one desertion.. Would be nice if the powers that be just leave well enough alone.. Texas makes over 100 million annually, and they aren't happy with their current situation??
 
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Texas makes over 100 million annually, and they aren't happy with their current situation??

This whole Texas/B12 situation is really interesting. Short term, the Longhorn Network is a really good deal for Texas. Mid-term it should become ridiculously good for them (their cut increases dramatically once ESPN recoups their set up costs). So the gravy train could chug along for the next 10 or so years. The challenge is going to be in maintaining their reputation so that they still swing the biggest stick in the B12 once the initial Longhorn Network deal gets close to expiration. But that is so far from now, that I'm not sure they are even thinking about it.
 
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But mountainqueers are the marquee team of the b12!
I prefer the MountainBeers on the Banter but that Mountaineer Bravado that was once expressed about being in a better conference has come and gone, and they are seeing the New Dawn is in SEC, B1G and ACC for WVU if they get there?

It is a fine University and they have a Passionate Fan Base but their TV Footprint is too small even with excellence on Attendance and Winning!

They have a problem in the Big-12 and the Big-12 has problem with just 5 states as their Demographics and no quick fix in finding other Programs to Expand, and possible dissension within if other conferences come a calling! Just an opinion, and not condemning your own either!
 
If Texas would ever leave the Big 12 the lead would disband and the other teams would either move to another P4 conference or AAC. There is no team in the Big 12 that would be a good fit for the ACC
Respectfully, Disagree with no offense given or taken.

ACC Commissioner Swofford is on the Public Record the only Schools that have an Open Invitation to the ACC anytime is Texas and Notre Dame! Notre Dame is almost Half In right now and if Texas so chooses they could come to the ACC so long as Notre Dame joins them? Just a Hunch & Swofford is known for Special Coups!
 
big 12 and the ACC are two P5 conferences that could be destroyed with one desertion.. Would be nice if the powers that be just leave well enough alone.. Texas makes over 100 million annually, and they aren't happy with their current situation??
Good post and thinking! This is why Texas may consider the ACC over B1G and SEC! Throw in ND with Texas, and the ACC is close to SEC & B1G on Attendance, TV Viewership, and TV Network Money would flow to the largest Footprint of all Conferences! This si why Swofford was not just careful but outright bragging and letting Texas know they have an Open Invitation anytime. This is not a coincidence in my opinion, but a Plan!

At the same time after that was said publicly, Notre Dame is on record also saying if another conference would threaten the ACC they would consider taking steps to stop it, the way to do that is to join in All Sports including Football!

Consequently, if Notre Dame will be the 15th Member in the ACC in football, it is in their interest to find the biggest and best partner to become the 16th member?????


What has to be remember is that it may not start with Texas, but OU that may leave for the PAc-12 or B1G or SEC, and then that would make Texas make a move?

Just a Hunch!
 
This whole Texas/B12 situation is really interesting. Short term, the Longhorn Network is a really good deal for Texas. Mid-term it should become ridiculously good for them (their cut increases dramatically once ESPN recoups their set up costs). So the gravy train could chug along for the next 10 or so years. The challenge is going to be in maintaining their reputation so that they still swing the biggest stick in the B12 once the initial Longhorn Network deal gets close to expiration. But that is so far from now, that I'm not sure they are even thinking about it.
Another great post with good info and concluded opinion based on some facts. I disagree a tad, The Big Ten TV Contracts and Network is coming up for 2018 and those discussion will start in 2016! If they are going to make a move to increase value to increase beyond even SEC success with the SEC Network, and this would cause a chain reaction on expansion????
 
For the life of me, I can't figure out why they aren't trying to bolster the conference. The fact that Baylor and TCU are in the Top 10 should be enough evidence to prove that as long as you are committed to football and are associated with some top programs, you can build your program into a contender. Based on this, I would branch off into Florida if I were the B12 and my main target would be UCF. Big school, lots of alumni, solid recruiting area. Yes, they are not the kind of addition that would shock and awe the football world. But, they are one of the few non P5 programs in the country with the best potential to turn into a good P5 program. This would give them a better chance of success than their current strategy of doing nothing does. They are not in position to be able to poach top P5 teams. If they were, they'd have done it already, which is why they sitting there with WVU.
The biggest obstacle right now and into 2024 is that their TV Money is paying 10 Teams right now for 12 Teams under contract.

The second big obstacle is that there are less viable options in adding Schools & Programs that will increase contributions in Attendance, TV and Conference Locations continued problems, while sharing and taking more while leaving aless of share for others currently?

The Third Obstacle is Texas has the Long Horn Network all alone without sharing much and there is no Big12 Network with just 5 States Footprint!

Therefore, Texas does not want to see expansion by having to share more for getting back less!

If you add Houston or SMU you also increase competition for recruits in Texas at Programs that don't provide great Attendance or New Cable Market State Subscribers? Texas is already upset Baylor and TCU are beating them these days, once bottom feeders in Texas and now Power Houses?

If the Big-12 goes North or West or South, towards BYU, Boise, Memphis, Navy, UCincy, UConn, Temple, UCF, ECU, or USF in increases Travel Problems in all Sports even with Divisions. As well as sharing more money then these Program bring in to share especially with that Big-12 TV Contracts that pays 10 Teams for 12 Teams Shares??

As opposed to just joining the PAC-12, ACC, or B1G that would cause the same travel problems but ok by gaining way more money! I do not include SEC because Texas hates what A&M did by leaving the Big-12 and won't reward that kind of behavior. they can afford to go elsewhere anyway or become an Independent!

Texas is the biggest money making Football Program by far in all of FBS 128 Programs! They have many options and they can decide when and where they want to go on their time and dime$?
 
The ACC should offer Texas, OU and their little brothers (OKST, TT) and also 2 more to get to 20. I say KU and UConn for hoops

Northeast
BC
UConn
Syr
Pitt
Lou

Central
UVa
VT
Duke
UNC
NCSU

South
Wake
GT
Clemson
FSU
Miami

Plains
KU
OU
OKST
Texas
TT

Kick ND out (dont need them at this point). Play 4 games in your division and 5 crossover games against the other 3. Just like the NFL does, each team in a division would play ALL the teams from one of the other divisions in a given year meaning you'd play every team at least once every 3 years.

The 4 champs go to a 4 team ACC playoff.
 
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It is on the Texas Rival Boards but some very intelligent and knowledgeable Posters down there talking about which conference they should join in case the Big-12 becomes raided?
LINK:
Big 10 pursuing Texas?
http://texas.forums.rivals.com/threads/big-10-pursuing-texas.107165/

Some comments I liked learning from:
BringBackRoyal, Yesterday at 9:24 AM
No thanks. It's the last of the other four P5 conferences I'd want us to join.

Thanks, swVAHorn. I realize I'm in the minority in my deep opposition to the B1G, at least on this board. Of the other four conferences, the B1G has by far the worst demographic trends, the most painfully boring football, mostly awful road destinations, the worst late-season weather, and it has diluted itself with relative dead weight in the latest round of expansion (Nebraska is a good name, of course, if no longer a good program or much of a TV value, but Maryland and Rutgers are awful additions from a fan perspective). It also already has too many teams for Texas to be able to bring along a few other schools, meaning Texas would be a complete geographic isolate. Other than staying in the Big 12 forever, I can't think of a better way to hand aggy more of a long-term benefit than to join a conference with as many negatives as the B1G has compared to the SEC for a recruit from Texas. Also, we would join the B1G West, which has none of the true marquee programs (Nebraska's a permanent has-been to me). Look at Iowa's schedule this year. Or Nebraska's. Just awful. We would have those years.

A Pac-16 with Texas (and Oklahoma) would have the two most populous states in the country, two of the three states with the most talent, five of the eight fastest-growing states (seven of the top 20, and eight of the top 23), and a population footprint of 96 million. (The SEC currently has a population of ~67 million plus some portion of East Texas, as there's only one school in Texas that delivers the entire state.) The B1G has a very large population footprint, but it also has five of the 12 slowest-growing states, with all states but one in the bottom half, and a hollowed-out, declining economic core. The demographic future is in the West and the South.

Texas would play in the Pacific time zone all of twice per year in the Pac-16, and some of these would be afternoon games. The Pac-16's scheduling patterns would also inevitably shift somewhat to take advantage of the conference's expansion into the Central time zone, which it craves, and this would work in our favor. We would also bring along some neighbors, meaning we wouldn't be the one geographic outlier, and I would also be happy about continuing to play some teams with which we have at least some history (Tech and OSU) rather than severing all old relationships. Opening a permanent connection to the tremendous and growing Southern California talent zone -- which exceeds what the local teams use -- would be a big gain, and the conference's collective talent base wouldn't be nearly as saturated as the B1G's. I would also much rather have our coaches recruit against the backdrop of a Pac-16 schedule in general -- given the conference's many great road destinations, far better weather, and what would be the inclusion of a few schools located nearby -- than against that of the miserable B1G West.

cwillfromdatx, Today at 12:23 AM
I would rather see us moved into the PAC if we were to relocate. We would only be playing 4 schools in the pacific time zone if we were put into a pod system. The NW pod would be UW, WSU, Ore, OSU. Cali pod would be Stan, Cal, USC and UCLA. Mountain pod would be Ari, ASU, Utah and CU. Tex pod would be UT, TT, OK, and OK st. That would be 3 games in the central time zone, 2 from the mountain time zone and 4 from the pacific time zone. That would give us a total of 9 conference games( the same as we have now) and 3 out of conference games. This would be much better than a freezing, snowing cold day of the up north. Playing up in Seattle once in for years is really not that bad as some may think. I would be totally against the late start games for us and they would most likely work around that in our favor

BringBackRoyal, 19 minutes ago
Strongly disagree. Some people said this same sort of thing when people started wanting out of the declining SWC (things like "Let's get our house in order before we move to a better, tougher conference."). But, in reality, it's too bad we didn't get out of that dump of a conference a decade earlier. The crappiness of the SWC is precisely what prevented us from putting our house in order, as it put a low ceiling on our potential for success (without cheating). (No, it wasn't the coaching hires. That was a symptom of our weakness, not the cause.)

You don't evaluate moving to a different conference through the lens of the program's current on-field performance -- you evaluate it based on what appear to be the long-term advantages and disadvantages. The Big 12 isn't as bad as the latter-day SWC by any means, but it's a relative demographic weakling, and it will be at a serious and perpetual disadvantage in TV contract negotiations, TV coverage, and all-around prestige. It has no appealing realistic options for significant expansion. Everyone's happy because we got substantially overpaid this time around. That won't happen again, and, even with the money, the actual TV exposure for the conference is crap. TV exposure influences how much your program gets talked about in general, and it has a big impact on recruiting (see the latter-day SWC).

Texas needs to get out of this conference as soon as is practicable to a conference with more market power. This sets the foundation for better sustained performance in the current era of college football. How we're playing today is irrelevant.


The reason the Dallas Cowboys are Americ's team is because the play in the NFC East. Philly, New York an DC are their rivals. Texas would go to a whole other level playing in the ACC in a very good way.
 
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The reason the Dallas Cowboys are Americ's team is because the play in the NFC East. Philly, New York an DC are their rivals. Texas would go to a whole other level playing in the ACC in a very good way.
Great point and did not see that, but you are correct sir!
 
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