Im trying to understand a number of things.
1) How is the schedule tougher? Last year we played 6 road games, this year we play 5. Last year we played Iowa and Notre Dame OOC, 2 Top 10 teams, this year we play unranked Penn State at home and Top 25 Oklahoma State. This year there is a total of 2 maybe 3 Preseason Top 25 teams on the entire schedule, and Miami being one of those teams is borderline.
2) How is the Pitt talent depleted? Pitt returns more players off the 2 deep than any other team in the entire ACC. Pitt had the offensive and defensive freshmen players of the year in the ACC conference. And we have a nice recruiting class coming in.
3) James Conner didnt even play last year. You dont think his inspiration is going to inject fire into this team when he runs out onto the field?
4) Last year Pitt''s team gave up 182 points in ACC Conference games. That was 4th best in the entire conference. Last's year team lost on a 58 yard field goal to Iowa, a Top 10 team in the country.
5) Last years Pitt team was predicted to finish either dead last or 2nd to dead last in the ACC Coastal by almost everyone. We finished 2nd with a 1st year head Coach. For once, we have a Pitt football coach that I can say exceeded expectations, far exceeded them, especially when Conner was lost in the first game of the year.
6) 6 Wins next year? Over please, Im buying all day Pitt wins over 6 games next year.
I've been saying I don't really see this schedule as that much tougher than last year. We do step up in a couple of places but overall it is not significantly stronger than last year's and especially not as overwhelmingly difficult as some are suggestion will lead to a 6 win season. Obviously too early to make really solid predictions, but based on last year's teams and returning players/coaches here would be my very early predictions and comparisons to last year.
Villanova.......YSU - No significant difference. Win last year.
W
PSU..............Louisville - Not sure PSU is much better than Louisville was last year
W
@OSU..........@Iowa - OSU might be a tougher game, but it was a game we lost last year anyway.
L
@UNC.........UNC - Road vs. home. Loss last year. Probably a
L but I won't be surprised to pull out the W
Marshall........Akron - again upgrade here, but this to me is still a game we should win. in my opinion Marshall was not as good as their record. The schedule was not a strong schedule.
W
Georgia Tech.....@Georgia Tech - playing at home should be to our advantage. Win last year.
W
@Virginia........Virginia - away vs. home. Win last year.
W
VaTech...........@VaTech - home vs. away. Win last year
W
@Miami..........Miami - home vs. away. Loss last year
Toss-up To me, this was probably the worst game we played all year last year.
@Clemson..........ND - away, stronger opponent but was a loss last year
L
Duke............@Duke - home vs. away. Win last year.
W
Syracuse........@Syracuse - home vs. away. Win last year.
W
Why is it that so many Pitt fans expect our opposition to improve more than we will? Every team loses starters. Every team faces some adversity. So why is ours always expected to be "worse"? Hopefully we'll get Conner back, have a better line and a qb with a year of experience as a starter. I think with the second year of the coaching staff and many younger players getting experience, we are actually going to see a significant improvement in play for Pitt.
I see 8 wins this year. I can't pick us to lose this year to team's we beat last year. I know we could lose, but then again we could lose or win every single game. I also see a couple of games where we could change a L from last year to a W this year. I know it's too early to predict with accuracy without even seeing who the starters will be, or injuries that will occur between now and opening day, but based on what we know now this is how I feel.